Trading Charts: Live Forex Charts - DailyFX

Algorithmic Trading

A place for redditors to discuss quantitative trading, statistical methods, econometrics, programming, implementation, automated strategies, and bounce ideas off each other for constructive criticism. Feel free to submit papers/links of things you find interesting.
[link]

r/CryptoMarkets

FOREX community for cryptocurrencies. Tags: mt gox bitcoin, long term potential, open source exchange, low inflation rate, demand and price, technical analysis, fundamentals, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Monero, Dash, Augur, token, volume, oscillator, RSI, stochastic, trend, sentiment, strategy, scam, coin, coinmarketcap, altcoin, Peercoin, script, blockchain, PoW, PoS, Proof of Work,
[link]

Ekonomi ve Finans

Türkçe Dil Kullanılmalıdır ! Ekonomi ve Finans Haberleri paylaşılabilir. Bunun Dışında Paylaşım Yapılmasına İzin Verilmemektedir.
[link]

Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts

Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts
Hi guys,
I have been using reddit for years in my personal life (not trading!) and wanted to give something back in an area where i am an expert.
I worked at an investment bank for seven years and joined them as a graduate FX trader so have lots of professional experience, by which i mean I was trained and paid by a big institution to trade on their behalf. This is very different to being a full-time home trader, although that is not to discredit those guys, who can accumulate a good amount of experience/wisdom through self learning.
When I get time I'm going to write a mid-length posts on each topic for you guys along the lines of how i was trained. I guess there would be 15-20 topics in total so about 50-60 posts. Feel free to comment or ask questions.
The first topic is Risk Management and we'll cover it in three parts
Part I
  • Why it matters
  • Position sizing
  • Kelly
  • Using stops sensibly
  • Picking a clear level

Why it matters

The first rule of making money through trading is to ensure you do not lose money. Look at any serious hedge fund’s website and they’ll talk about their first priority being “preservation of investor capital.”
You have to keep it before you grow it.
Strangely, if you look at retail trading websites, for every one article on risk management there are probably fifty on trade selection. This is completely the wrong way around.
The great news is that this stuff is pretty simple and process-driven. Anyone can learn and follow best practices.
Seriously, avoiding mistakes is one of the most important things: there's not some holy grail system for finding winning trades, rather a routine and fairly boring set of processes that ensure that you are profitable, despite having plenty of losing trades alongside the winners.

Capital and position sizing

The first thing you have to know is how much capital you are working with. Let’s say you have $100,000 deposited. This is your maximum trading capital. Your trading capital is not the leveraged amount. It is the amount of money you have deposited and can withdraw or lose.
Position sizing is what ensures that a losing streak does not take you out of the market.
A rule of thumb is that one should risk no more than 2% of one’s account balance on an individual trade and no more than 8% of one’s account balance on a specific theme. We’ll look at why that’s a rule of thumb later. For now let’s just accept those numbers and look at examples.
So we have $100,000 in our account. And we wish to buy EURUSD. We should therefore not be risking more than 2% which $2,000.
We look at a technical chart and decide to leave a stop below the monthly low, which is 55 pips below market. We’ll come back to this in a bit. So what should our position size be?
We go to the calculator page, select Position Size and enter our details. There are many such calculators online - just google "Pip calculator".

https://preview.redd.it/y38zb666e5h51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=26e4fe569dc5c1f43ce4c746230c49b138691d14
So the appropriate size is a buy position of 363,636 EURUSD. If it reaches our stop level we know we’ll lose precisely $2,000 or 2% of our capital.
You should be using this calculator (or something similar) on every single trade so that you know your risk.
Now imagine that we have similar bets on EURJPY and EURGBP, which have also broken above moving averages. Clearly this EUR-momentum is a theme. If it works all three bets are likely to pay off. But if it goes wrong we are likely to lose on all three at once. We are going to look at this concept of correlation in more detail later.
The total amount of risk in our portfolio - if all of the trades on this EUR-momentum theme were to hit their stops - should not exceed $8,000 or 8% of total capital. This allows us to go big on themes we like without going bust when the theme does not work.
As we’ll see later, many traders only win on 40-60% of trades. So you have to accept losing trades will be common and ensure you size trades so they cannot ruin you.
Similarly, like poker players, we should risk more on trades we feel confident about and less on trades that seem less compelling. However, this should always be subject to overall position sizing constraints.
For example before you put on each trade you might rate the strength of your conviction in the trade and allocate a position size accordingly:

https://preview.redd.it/q2ea6rgae5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=4332cb8d0bbbc3d8db972c1f28e8189105393e5b
To keep yourself disciplined you should try to ensure that no more than one in twenty trades are graded exceptional and allocated 5% of account balance risk. It really should be a rare moment when all the stars align for you.
Notice that the nice thing about dealing in percentages is that it scales. Say you start out with $100,000 but end the year up 50% at $150,000. Now a 1% bet will risk $1,500 rather than $1,000. That makes sense as your capital has grown.
It is extremely common for retail accounts to blow-up by making only 4-5 losing trades because they are leveraged at 50:1 and have taken on far too large a position, relative to their account balance.
Consider that GBPUSD tends to move 1% each day. If you have an account balance of $10k then it would be crazy to take a position of $500k (50:1 leveraged). A 1% move on $500k is $5k.
Two perfectly regular down days in a row — or a single day’s move of 2% — and you will receive a margin call from the broker, have the account closed out, and have lost all your money.
Do not let this happen to you. Use position sizing discipline to protect yourself.

Kelly Criterion

If you’re wondering - why “about 2%” per trade? - that’s a fair question. Why not 0.5% or 10% or any other number?
The Kelly Criterion is a formula that was adapted for use in casinos. If you know the odds of winning and the expected pay-off, it tells you how much you should bet in each round.
This is harder than it sounds. Let’s say you could bet on a weighted coin flip, where it lands on heads 60% of the time and tails 40% of the time. The payout is $2 per $1 bet.
Well, absolutely you should bet. The odds are in your favour. But if you have, say, $100 it is less obvious how much you should bet to avoid ruin.
Say you bet $50, the odds that it could land on tails twice in a row are 16%. You could easily be out after the first two flips.
Equally, betting $1 is not going to maximise your advantage. The odds are 60/40 in your favour so only betting $1 is likely too conservative. The Kelly Criterion is a formula that produces the long-run optimal bet size, given the odds.
Applying the formula to forex trading looks like this:
Position size % = Winning trade % - ( (1- Winning trade %) / Risk-reward ratio
If you have recorded hundreds of trades in your journal - see next chapter - you can calculate what this outputs for you specifically.
If you don't have hundreds of trades then let’s assume some realistic defaults of Winning trade % being 30% and Risk-reward ratio being 3. The 3 implies your TP is 3x the distance of your stop from entry e.g. 300 pips take profit and 100 pips stop loss.
So that’s 0.3 - (1 - 0.3) / 3 = 6.6%.
Hold on a second. 6.6% of your account probably feels like a LOT to risk per trade.This is the main observation people have on Kelly: whilst it may optimise the long-run results it doesn’t take into account the pain of drawdowns. It is better thought of as the rational maximum limit. You needn’t go right up to the limit!
With a 30% winning trade ratio, the odds of you losing on four trades in a row is nearly one in four. That would result in a drawdown of nearly a quarter of your starting account balance. Could you really stomach that and put on the fifth trade, cool as ice? Most of us could not.
Accordingly people tend to reduce the bet size. For example, let’s say you know you would feel emotionally affected by losing 25% of your account.
Well, the simplest way is to divide the Kelly output by four. You have effectively hidden 75% of your account balance from Kelly and it is now optimised to avoid a total wipeout of just the 25% it can see.
This gives 6.6% / 4 = 1.65%. Of course different trading approaches and different risk appetites will provide different optimal bet sizes but as a rule of thumb something between 1-2% is appropriate for the style and risk appetite of most retail traders.
Incidentally be very wary of systems or traders who claim high winning trade % like 80%. Invariably these don’t pass a basic sense-check:
  • How many live trades have you done? Often they’ll have done only a handful of real trades and the rest are simulated backtests, which are overfitted. The model will soon die.
  • What is your risk-reward ratio on each trade? If you have a take profit $3 away and a stop loss $100 away, of course most trades will be winners. You will not be making money, however! In general most traders should trade smaller position sizes and less frequently than they do. If you are going to bias one way or the other, far better to start off too small.

How to use stop losses sensibly

Stop losses have a bad reputation amongst the retail community but are absolutely essential to risk management. No serious discretionary trader can operate without them.
A stop loss is a resting order, left with the broker, to automatically close your position if it reaches a certain price. For a recap on the various order types visit this chapter.
The valid concern with stop losses is that disreputable brokers look for a concentration of stops and then, when the market is close, whipsaw the price through the stop levels so that the clients ‘stop out’ and sell to the broker at a low rate before the market naturally comes back higher. This is referred to as ‘stop hunting’.
This would be extremely immoral behaviour and the way to guard against it is to use a highly reputable top-tier broker in a well regulated region such as the UK.
Why are stop losses so important? Well, there is no other way to manage risk with certainty.
You should always have a pre-determined stop loss before you put on a trade. Not having one is a recipe for disaster: you will find yourself emotionally attached to the trade as it goes against you and it will be extremely hard to cut the loss. This is a well known behavioural bias that we’ll explore in a later chapter.
Learning to take a loss and move on rationally is a key lesson for new traders.
A common mistake is to think of the market as a personal nemesis. The market, of course, is totally impersonal; it doesn’t care whether you make money or not.
Bruce Kovner, founder of the hedge fund Caxton Associates
There is an old saying amongst bank traders which is “losers average losers”.
It is tempting, having bought EURUSD and seeing it go lower, to buy more. Your average price will improve if you keep buying as it goes lower. If it was cheap before it must be a bargain now, right? Wrong.
Where does that end? Always have a pre-determined cut-off point which limits your risk. A level where you know the reason for the trade was proved ‘wrong’ ... and stick to it strictly. If you trade using discretion, use stops.

Picking a clear level

Where you leave your stop loss is key.
Typically traders will leave them at big technical levels such as recent highs or lows. For example if EURUSD is trading at 1.1250 and the recent month’s low is 1.1205 then leaving it just below at 1.1200 seems sensible.

If you were going long, just below the double bottom support zone seems like a sensible area to leave a stop
You want to give it a bit of breathing room as we know support zones often get challenged before the price rallies. This is because lots of traders identify the same zones. You won’t be the only one selling around 1.1200.
The “weak hands” who leave their sell stop order at exactly the level are likely to get taken out as the market tests the support. Those who leave it ten or fifteen pips below the level have more breathing room and will survive a quick test of the level before a resumed run-up.
Your timeframe and trading style clearly play a part. Here’s a candlestick chart (one candle is one day) for GBPUSD.

https://preview.redd.it/moyngdy4f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=91af88da00dd3a09e202880d8029b0ddf04fb802
If you are putting on a trend-following trade you expect to hold for weeks then you need to have a stop loss that can withstand the daily noise. Look at the downtrend on the chart. There were plenty of days in which the price rallied 60 pips or more during the wider downtrend.
So having a really tight stop of, say, 25 pips that gets chopped up in noisy short-term moves is not going to work for this kind of trade. You need to use a wider stop and take a smaller position size, determined by the stop level.
There are several tools you can use to help you estimate what is a safe distance and we’ll look at those in the next section.
There are of course exceptions. For example, if you are doing range-break style trading you might have a really tight stop, set just below the previous range high.

https://preview.redd.it/ygy0tko7f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=34af49da61c911befdc0db26af66f6c313556c81
Clearly then where you set stops will depend on your trading style as well as your holding horizons and the volatility of each instrument.
Here are some guidelines that can help:
  1. Use technical analysis to pick important levels (support, resistance, previous high/lows, moving averages etc.) as these provide clear exit and entry points on a trade.
  2. Ensure that the stop gives your trade enough room to breathe and reflects your timeframe and typical volatility of each pair. See next section.
  3. Always pick your stop level first. Then use a calculator to determine the appropriate lot size for the position, based on the % of your account balance you wish to risk on the trade.
So far we have talked about price-based stops. There is another sort which is more of a fundamental stop, used alongside - not instead of - price stops. If either breaks you’re out.
For example if you stop understanding why a product is going up or down and your fundamental thesis has been confirmed wrong, get out. For example, if you are long because you think the central bank is turning hawkish and AUDUSD is going to play catch up with rates … then you hear dovish noises from the central bank and the bond yields retrace lower and back in line with the currency - close your AUDUSD position. You already know your thesis was wrong. No need to give away more money to the market.

Coming up in part II

EDIT: part II here
Letting stops breathe
When to change a stop
Entering and exiting winning positions
Risk:reward ratios
Risk-adjusted returns

Coming up in part III

Squeezes and other risks
Market positioning
Bet correlation
Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

***
Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]

Some trading wisdom, tools and information I picked up along the way that helped me be a better trader. Maybe it can help you too.

Its a bit lengthy and I tried to condense it as much as I can. So take everything at a high level as each subject is has a lot more depth but fundamentally if you distill it down its just taking simple things and applying your experience using them to add nuance and better deploy them.
There are exceptions to everything that you will learn with experience or have already learned. If you know something extra or something to add to it to implement it better or more accurately. Then great! However, my intention of this post is just a high level overview. Trading can be far too nuanced to go into in this post and would take forever to type up every exception (not to mention the traders individual personality). If you take the general information as a starting point, hopefully you will learn the edge cases long the way and learn how to use the more effectively if you end up using them. I apologize in advice for any errors or typos.
Introduction After reflecting on my fun (cough) trading journey that was more akin to rolling around on broken glass and wondering if brown glass will help me predict market direction better than green glass. Buying a $100 indicator at 2 am when I was acting a fool, looking at it and going at and going "This is a piece of lagging crap, I miss out on a large part of the fundamental move and never using it for even one trade". All while struggling with massive over trading and bad habits because I would get bored watching a single well placed trade on fold for the day. Also, I wanted to get rich quick.
On top all of that I had a terminal Stage 4 case of FOMO on every time the price would move up and then down then back up. Just think about all those extra pips I could have trading both directions as it moves across the chart! I can just sell right when it goes down, then buy right before it goes up again. Its so easy right? Well, turns out it was not as easy as I thought and I lost a fair chunk of change and hit my head against the wall a lot until it clicked. Which is how I came up with a mixed bag of things that I now call "Trade the Trade" which helped support how I wanted to trade so I can still trade intra day price action like a rabid money without throwing away all my bananas.
Why Make This Post? - Core Topic of Discussion I wish to share a concept I came up with that helped me become a reliable trader. Support the weakness of how I like to trade. Also, explaining what I do helps reinforce my understanding of the information I share as I have to put words to it and not just use internalized processes. I came up with a method that helped me get my head straight when trading intra day.
I call it "Trade the Trade" as I am making mini trades inside of a trade setup I make from analysis on a higher timeframe that would take multiple days to unfold or longer. I will share information, principles, techniques I used and learned from others I talked to on the internet (mixed bag of folks from armatures to professionals, and random internet people) that helped me form a trading style that worked for me. Even people who are not good at trading can say something that might make it click in your head so I would absorbed all the information I could get.I will share the details of how I approach the methodology and the tools in my trading belt that I picked up by filtering through many tools, indicators strategies and witchcraft. Hopefully you read something that ends up helping you be a better trader. I learned a lot from people who make community posts so I wanted to give back now that I got my ducks in a row.
General Trading Advice If your struggling finding your own trading style, fixing weakness's in it, getting started, being reliably profitable or have no framework to build yourself higher with, hopefully you can use the below advice to help provide some direction or clarity to moving forward to be a better trader.
  1. KEEP IT SIMPLE. Do not throw a million things on your chart from the get go or over analyzing what the market is doing while trying to learn the basics. Tons of stuff on your chart can actually slow your learning by distracting your focus on all your bells and whistles and not the price action.
  2. PRICE ACTION. Learn how to read price action. Not just the common formations, but larger groups of bars that form the market structure. Those formations carry more weight the higher the time frame they form on. If struggle to understand what is going on or what your looking at, move to a higher time frame.
  3. INDICATORS. If you do use them you should try to understand how every indicator you use calculates its values. Many indicators are lagging indicators, understanding how it calculates the values can help you learn how to identify the market structure before the indicator would trigger a signal . This will help you understand why the signal is a lagged signal. If you understand that you can easily learn to look at the price action right before the signal and learn to watch for that price action on top of it almost trigging a signal so you can get in at a better position and assume less downside risk. I recommend using no more than 1-2 indicators for simplicity, but your free to use as many as you think you think you need or works for your strategy/trading style.
  4. PSYCOLOGY. First, FOMO is real, don't feed the beast. When you trade you should always have an entry and exit. If you miss your entry do not chase it, wait for a new entry. At its core trading is gambling and your looking for an edge against the house (the other market participants). With that in mind, treat as such. Do not risk more than you can afford to lose. If you are afraid to lose it will negatively effect your trade decisions. Finally, be honest with your self and bad trading happens. No one is going to play trade cop and keep you in line, that's your job.
  5. TRADE DECISION MARKING: Before you enter any trade you should have an entry and exit area. As you learn price action you will get better entries and better exits. Use a larger zone and stop loss at the start while learning. Then you can tighten it up as you gain experience. If you do not have a area you wish to exit, or you are entering because "the markets looking like its gonna go up". Do not enter the trade. Have a reason for everything you do, if you cannot logically explain why then you probably should not be doing it.
  6. ROBOTS/ALGOS: Loved by some, hated by many who lost it all to one, and surrounded by scams on the internet. If you make your own, find a legit one that works and paid for it or lost it all on a crappy one, more power to ya. I do not use robots because I do not like having a robot in control of my money. There is too many edge cases for me to be ok with it.However, the best piece of advice about algos was that the guy had a algo/robot for each market condition (trending/ranging) and would make personalized versions of each for currency pairs as each one has its own personality and can make the same type of movement along side another currency pair but the price action can look way different or the move can be lagged or leading. So whenever he does his own analysis and he sees a trend, he turns the trend trading robot on. If the trend stops, and it starts to range he turns the range trading robot on. He uses robots to trade the market types that he is bad at trading. For example, I suck at trend trading because I just suck at sitting on my hands and letting my trade do its thing.

Trade the Trade - The Methodology

Base Principles These are the base principles I use behind "Trade the Trade". Its called that because you are technically trading inside your larger high time frame trade as it hopefully goes as you have analyzed with the trade setup. It allows you to scratch that intraday trading itch, while not being blind to the bigger market at play. It can help make sense of why the price respects, rejects or flat out ignores support/resistance/pivots.
  1. Trade Setup: Find a trade setup using high level time frames (daily, 4hr, or 1hr time frames). The trade setup will be used as a base for starting to figure out a bias for the markets direction for that day.
  2. Indicator Data: Check any indicators you use (I use Stochastic RSI and Relative Vigor Index) for any useful information on higher timeframes.
  3. Support Resistance: See if any support/resistance/pivot points are in currently being tested/resisted by the price. Also check for any that are within reach so they might become in play through out the day throughout the day (which can influence your bias at least until the price reaches it if it was already moving that direction from previous days/weeks price action).
  4. Currency Strength/Weakness: I use the TradeVision currency strength/weakness dashboard to see if the strength/weakness supports the narrative of my trade and as an early indicator when to keep a closer eye for signs of the price reversing.Without the tool, the same concept can be someone accomplished with fundamentals and checking for higher level trends and checking cross currency pairs for trends as well to indicate strength/weakness, ranging (and where it is in that range) or try to get some general bias from a higher level chart that may help you out. However, it wont help you intra day unless your monitoring the currency's index or a bunch of charts related to the currency.
  5. Watch For Trading Opportunities: Personally I make a mental short list and alerts on TradingView of currency pairs that are close to key levels and so I get a notification if it reaches there so I can check it out. I am not against trading both directions, I just try to trade my bias before the market tries to commit to a direction. Then if I get out of that trade I will scalp against the trend of the day and hold trades longer that are with it.Then when you see a opportunity assume the directional bias you made up earlier (unless the market solidly confirms with price action the direction while waiting for an entry) by trying to look for additional confirmation via indicators, price action on support/resistances etc on the low level time frame or higher level ones like hourly/4hr as the day goes on when the price reaches key areas or makes new market structures to get a good spot to enter a trade in the direction of your bias.Then enter your trade and use the market structures to determine how much of a stop you need. Once your in the trade just monitor it and watch the price action/indicators/tools you use to see if its at risk of going against you. If you really believe the market wont reach your TP and looks like its going to turn against you, then close the trade. Don't just hold on to it for principle and let it draw down on principle or the hope it does not hit your stop loss.
  6. Trade Duration Hold your trades as long or little as you want that fits your personality and trading style/trade analysis. Personally I do not hold trades past the end of the day (I do in some cases when a strong trend folds) and I do not hold trades over the weekends. My TP targets are always places I think it can reach within the day. Typically I try to be flat before I sleep and trade intra day price movements only. Just depends on the higher level outlook, I have to get in at really good prices for me to want to hold a trade and it has to be going strong. Then I will set a slightly aggressive stop on it before I leave. I do know several people that swing trade and hold trades for a long period of time. That is just not a trading style that works for me.
Enhance Your Success Rate Below is information I picked up over the years that helped me enhance my success rate with not only guessing intra day market bias (even if it has not broken into the trend for the day yet (aka pre London open when the end of Asia likes to act funny sometimes), but also with trading price action intra day.
People always say "When you enter a trade have an entry and exits. I am of the belief that most people do not have problem with the entry, its the exit. They either hold too long, or don't hold long enough. With the below tools, drawings, or instruments, hopefully you can increase your individual probability of a successful trade.
**P.S.*\* Your mileage will vary depending on your ability to correctly draw, implement and interpret the below items. They take time and practice to implement with a high degree of proficiency. If you have any questions about how to do that with anything listed, comment below and I will reply as I can. I don't want to answer the same question a million times in a pm.
Tools and Methods Used This is just a high level overview of what I use. Each one of the actions I could go way more in-depth on but I would be here for a week typing something up of I did that. So take the information as a base level understanding of how I use the method or tool. There is always nuance and edge cases that you learn from experience.
Conclusion
I use the above tools/indicators/resources/philosophy's to trade intra day price action that sometimes ends up as noise in the grand scheme of the markets movement.use that method until the price action for the day proves the bias assumption wrong. Also you can couple that with things like Stoch RSI + Relative Vigor Index to find divergences which can increase the probability of your targeted guesses.

Trade Example from Yesterday This is an example of a trade I took today and why I took it. I used the following core areas to make my trade decision.
It may seem like a lot of stuff to process on the fly while trying to figure out live price action but, for the fundamental bias for a pair should already baked in your mindset for any currency pair you trade. For the currency strength/weakness I stare at the dashboard 12-15 hours a day so I am always trying to keep a pulse on what's going or shifts so that's not really a factor when I want to enter as I would not look to enter if I felt the market was shifting against me. Then the higher timeframe analysis had already happened when I woke up, so it was a game of "Stare at the 5 min chart until the price does something interesting"
Trade Example: Today , I went long EUUSD long bias when I first looked at the chart after waking up around 9-10pm Eastern. Fortunately, the first large drop had already happened so I had a easy baseline price movement to work with. I then used tool for currency strength/weakness monitoring, Pivot Points, and bearish divergence detected using Stochastic RSI and Relative Vigor Index.
I first noticed Bearish Divergence on the 1hr time frame using the Stochastic RSI and got confirmation intra day on the 5 min time frame with the Relative Vigor Index. I ended up buying the second mini dip around midnight Eastern because it was already dancing along the pivot point that the price had been dancing along since the big drop below the pivot point and dipped below it and then shortly closed back above it. I put a stop loss below the first large dip. With a TP goal of the middle point pivot line
Then I waited for confirmation or invalidation of my trade. I ended up getting confirmation with Bearish Divergence from the second large dip so I tightened up my stop to below that smaller drip and waited for the London open. Not only was it not a lower low, I could see the divergence with the Relative Vigor Index.
It then ran into London and kept going with tons of momentum. Blew past my TP target so I let it run to see where the momentum stopped. Ended up TP'ing at the Pivot Point support/resistance above the middle pivot line.
Random Note: The Asian session has its own unique price action characteristics that happen regularly enough that you can easily trade them when they happen with high degrees of success. It takes time to learn them all and confidently trade them as its happening. If you trade Asia you should learn to recognize them as they can fake you out if you do not understand what's going on.

TL;DR At the end of the day there is no magic solution that just works. You have to find out what works for you and then what people say works for them. Test it out and see if it works for you or if you can adapt it to work for you. If it does not work or your just not interested then ignore it.
At the end of the day, you have to use your brain to make correct trading decisions. Blindly following indicators may work sometimes in certain market conditions, but trading with information you don't understand can burn you just as easily as help you. Its like playing with fire. So, get out there and grind it out. It will either click or it wont. Not everyone has the mindset or is capable of changing to be a successful trader. Trading is gambling, you do all this work to get a edge on the house. Trading without the edge or an edge you understand how to use will only leave your broker happy in the end.
submitted by marcusrider to Forex [link] [comments]

Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part 3/3

Former investment bank FX trader: Risk management part 3/3
Welcome to the third and final part of this chapter.
Thank you all for the 100s of comments and upvotes - maybe this post will take us above 1,000 for this topic!
Keep any feedback or questions coming in the replies below.
Before you read this note, please start with Part I and then Part II so it hangs together and makes sense.
Part III
  • Squeezes and other risks
  • Market positioning
  • Bet correlation
  • Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

Squeezes and other risks

We are going to cover three common risks that traders face: events; squeezes, asymmetric bets.

Events

Economic releases can cause large short-term volatility. The most famous is Non Farm Payrolls, which is the most widely watched measure of US employment levels and affects the price of many instruments.On an NFP announcement currencies like EURUSD might jump (or drop) 100 pips no problem.
This is fine and there are trading strategies that one may employ around this but the key thing is to be aware of these releases.You can find economic calendars all over the internet - including on this site - and you need only check if there are any major releases each day or week.
For example, if you are trading off some intraday chart and scalping a few pips here and there it would be highly sensible to go into a known data release flat as it is pure coin-toss and not the reason for your trading. It only takes five minutes each day to plan for the day ahead so do not get caught out by this. Many retail traders get stopped out on such events when price volatility is at its peak.

Squeezes

Short squeezes bring a lot of danger and perhaps some opportunity.
The story of VW and Porsche is the best short squeeze ever. Throughout these articles we've used FX examples wherever possible but in this one instance the concept (which is also highly relevant in FX) is best illustrated with an historical lesson from a different asset class.
A short squeeze is when a participant ends up in a short position they are forced to cover. Especially when the rest of the market knows that this participant can be bullied into stopping out at terrible levels, provided the market can briefly drive the price into their pain zone.

There's a reason for the car, don't worry
Hedge funds had been shorting VW stock. However the amount of VW stock available to buy in the open market was actually quite limited. The local government owned a chunk and Porsche itself had bought and locked away around 30%. Neither of these would sell to the hedge-funds so a good amount of the stock was un-buyable at any price.
If you sell or short a stock you must be prepared to buy it back to go flat at some point.
To cut a long story short, Porsche bought a lot of call options on VW stock. These options gave them the right to purchase VW stock from banks at slightly above market price.
Eventually the banks who had sold these options realised there was no VW stock to go out and buy since the German government wouldn’t sell its allocation and Porsche wouldn’t either. If Porsche called in the options the banks were in trouble.
Porsche called in the options which forced the shorts to buy stock - at whatever price they could get it.
The price squeezed higher as those that were short got massively squeezed and stopped out. For one brief moment in 2008, VW was the world’s most valuable company. Shorts were burned hard.

Incredible event
Porsche apparently made $11.5 billion on the trade. The BBC described Porsche as “a hedge fund with a carmaker attached.”
If this all seems exotic then know that the same thing happens in FX all the time. If everyone in the market is talking about a key level in EURUSD being 1.2050 then you can bet the market will try to push through 1.2050 just to take out any short stops at that level. Whether it then rallies higher or fails and trades back lower is a different matter entirely.
This brings us on to the matter of crowded trades. We will look at positioning in more detail in the next section. Crowded trades are dangerous for PNL. If everyone believes EURUSD is going down and has already sold EURUSD then you run the risk of a short squeeze.
For additional selling to take place you need a very good reason for people to add to their position whereas a move in the other direction could force mass buying to cover their shorts.
A trading mentor when I worked at the investment bank once advised me:
Always think about which move would cause the maximum people the maximum pain. That move is precisely what you should be watching out for at all times.

Asymmetric losses

Also known as picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. This risk has caught out many a retail trader. Sometimes it is referred to as a "negative skew" strategy.
Ideally what you are looking for is asymmetric risk trade set-ups: that is where the downside is clearly defined and smaller than the upside. What you want to avoid is the opposite.
A famous example of this going wrong was the Swiss National Bank de-peg in 2012.
The Swiss National Bank had said they would defend the price of EURCHF so that it did not go below 1.2. Many people believed it could never go below 1.2 due to this. Many retail traders therefore opted for a strategy that some describe as ‘picking up pennies in front of a steam-roller’.
They would would buy EURCHF above the peg level and hope for a tiny rally of several pips before selling them back and keep doing this repeatedly. Often they were highly leveraged at 100:1 so that they could amplify the profit of the tiny 5-10 pip rally.
Then this happened.

Something that changed FX markets forever
The SNB suddenly did the unthinkable. They stopped defending the price. CHF jumped and so EURCHF (the number of CHF per 1 EUR) dropped to new lows very fast. Clearly, this trade had horrific risk : reward asymmetry: you risked 30% to make 0.05%.
Other strategies like naively selling options have the same result. You win a small amount of money each day and then spectacularly blow up at some point down the line.

Market positioning

We have talked about short squeezes. But how do you know what the market position is? And should you care?
Let’s start with the first. You should definitely care.
Let’s imagine the entire market is exceptionally long EURUSD and positioning reaches extreme levels. This makes EURUSD very vulnerable.
To keep the price going higher EURUSD needs to attract fresh buy orders. If everyone is already long and has no room to add, what can incentivise people to keep buying? The news flow might be good. They may believe EURUSD goes higher. But they have already bought and have their maximum position on.
On the flip side, if there’s an unexpected event and EURUSD gaps lower you will have the entire market trying to exit the position at the same time. Like a herd of cows running through a single doorway. Messy.
We are going to look at this in more detail in a later chapter, where we discuss ‘carry’ trades. For now this TRYJPY chart might provide some idea of what a rush to the exits of a crowded position looks like.

A carry trade position clear-out in action
Knowing if the market is currently at extreme levels of long or short can therefore be helpful.
The CFTC makes available a weekly report, which details the overall positions of speculative traders “Non Commercial Traders” in some of the major futures products. This includes futures tied to deliverable FX pairs such as EURUSD as well as products such as gold. The report is called “CFTC Commitments of Traders” ("COT").
This is a great benchmark. It is far more representative of the overall market than the proprietary ones offered by retail brokers as it covers a far larger cross-section of the institutional market.
Generally market participants will not pay a lot of attention to commercial hedgers, which are also detailed in the report. This data is worth tracking but these folks are simply hedging real-world transactions rather than speculating so their activity is far less revealing and far more noisy.
You can find the data online for free and download it directly here.

Raw format is kinda hard to work with

However, many websites will chart this for you free of charge and you may find it more convenient to look at it that way. Just google “CFTC positioning charts”.

But you can easily get visualisations
You can visually spot extreme positioning. It is extremely powerful.
Bear in mind the reports come out Friday afternoon US time and the report is a snapshot up to the prior Tuesday. That means it is a lagged report - by the time it is released it is a few days out of date. For longer term trades where you hold positions for weeks this is of course still pretty helpful information.
As well as the absolute level (is the speculative market net long or short) you can also use this to pick up on changes in positioning.
For example if bad news comes out how much does the net short increase? If good news comes out, the market may remain net short but how much did they buy back?
A lot of traders ask themselves “Does the market have this trade on?” The positioning data is a good method for answering this. It provides a good finger on the pulse of the wider market sentiment and activity.
For example you might say: “There was lots of noise about the good employment numbers in the US. However, there wasn’t actually a lot of position change on the back of it. Maybe everyone who wants to buy already has. What would happen now if bad news came out?”
In general traders will be wary of entering a crowded position because it will be hard to attract additional buyers or sellers and there could be an aggressive exit.
If you want to enter a trade that is showing extreme levels of positioning you must think carefully about this dynamic.

Bet correlation

Retail traders often drastically underestimate how correlated their bets are.
Through bitter experience, I have learned that a mistake in position correlation is the root of some of the most serious problems in trading. If you have eight highly correlated positions, then you are really trading one position that is eight times as large.
Bruce Kovner of hedge fund, Caxton Associates
For example, if you are trading a bunch of pairs against the USD you will end up with a simply huge USD exposure. A single USD-trigger can ruin all your bets. Your ideal scenario — and it isn’t always possible — would be to have a highly diversified portfolio of bets that do not move in tandem.
Look at this chart. Inverted USD index (DXY) is green. AUDUSD is orange. EURUSD is blue.

Chart from TradingView
So the whole thing is just one big USD trade! If you are long AUDUSD, long EURUSD, and short DXY you have three anti USD bets that are all likely to work or fail together.
The more diversified your portfolio of bets are, the more risk you can take on each.
There’s a really good video, explaining the benefits of diversification from Ray Dalio.
A systematic fund with access to an investable universe of 10,000 instruments has more opportunity to make a better risk-adjusted return than a trader who only focuses on three symbols. Diversification really is the closest thing to a free lunch in finance.
But let’s be pragmatic and realistic. Human retail traders don’t have capacity to run even one hundred bets at a time. More realistic would be an average of 2-3 trades on simultaneously. So what can be done?
For example:
  • You might diversify across time horizons by having a mix of short-term and long-term trades.
  • You might diversify across asset classes - trading some FX but also crypto and equities.
  • You might diversify your trade generation approach so you are not relying on the same indicators or drivers on each trade.
  • You might diversify your exposure to the market regime by having some trades that assume a trend will continue (momentum) and some that assume we will be range-bound (carry).
And so on. Basically you want to scan your portfolio of trades and make sure you are not putting all your eggs in one basket. If some trades underperform others will perform - assuming the bets are not correlated - and that way you can ensure your overall portfolio takes less risk per unit of return.
The key thing is to start thinking about a portfolio of bets and what each new trade offers to your existing portfolio of risk. Will it diversify or amplify a current exposure?

Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

One common mistake is to get bored and restless and put on crap trades. This just means trades in which you have low conviction.
It is perfectly fine not to trade. If you feel like you do not understand the market at a particular point, simply choose not to trade.
Flat is a position.
Do not waste your bullets on rubbish trades. Only enter a trade when you have carefully considered it from all angles and feel good about the risk. This will make it far easier to hold onto the trade if it moves against you at any point. You actually believe in it.
Equally, you need to set monthly limits. A standard limit might be a 10% account balance stop per month. At that point you close all your positions immediately and stop trading till next month.

Be strict with yourself and walk away
Let’s assume you started the year with $100k and made 5% in January so enter Feb with $105k balance. Your stop is therefore 10% of $105k or $10.5k . If your account balance dips to $94.5k ($105k-$10.5k) then you stop yourself out and don’t resume trading till March the first.
Having monthly calendar breaks is nice for another reason. Say you made a load of money in January. You don’t want to start February feeling you are up 5% or it is too tempting to avoid trading all month and protect the existing win. Each month and each year should feel like a clean slate and an independent period.
Everyone has trading slumps. It is perfectly normal. It will definitely happen to you at some stage. The trick is to take a break and refocus. Conserve your capital by not trading a lot whilst you are on a losing streak. This period will be much harder for you emotionally and you’ll end up making suboptimal decisions. An enforced break will help you see the bigger picture.
Put in place a process before you start trading and then it’ll be easy to follow and will feel much less emotional. Remember: the market doesn’t care if you win or lose, it is nothing personal.
When your head has cooled and you feel calm you return the next month and begin the task of building back your account balance.

That's a wrap on risk management

Thanks for taking time to read this three-part chapter on risk management. I hope you enjoyed it. Do comment in the replies if you have any questions or feedback.
Remember: the most important part of trading is not making money. It is not losing money. Always start with that principle. I hope these three notes have provided some food for thought on how you might approach risk management and are of practical use to you when trading. Avoiding mistakes is not a sexy tagline but it is an effective and reliable way to improve results.
Next up I will be writing about an exciting topic I think many traders should look at rather differently: news trading. Please follow on here to receive notifications and the broad outline is below.
News Trading Part I
  • Introduction
  • Why use the economic calendar
  • Reading the economic calendar
  • Knowing what's priced in
  • Surveys
  • Interest rates
  • First order thinking vs second order thinking
News Trading Part II
  • Preparing for quantitative and qualitative releases
  • Data surprise index
  • Using recent events to predict future reactions
  • Buy the rumour, sell the fact
  • The mysterious 'position trim' effect
  • Reversals
  • Some key FX releases
***

Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]

80+ FREE Udemy & Few Discounted

FREE & Discounted Udemy
  1. [English] 3h 47m Complete Ethical Hacking Certification Course: Zero to Hero https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-ethical-hacking-certification-course-zero-to-hero/?couponCode=11DEGA
  2. [English] 2h 49m Complete Cyber Security Masterclass: Beginner to Advance https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-cyber-security-masterclass-beginner-to-advance/?couponCode=JENJON
  3. [English] 3h 45m Complete Ethical Hacking Masterclass: Beginner to Advance https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-ethical-hacking-masterclass-beginner-to-advance/?couponCode=RAGAN-PP
  4. [English] 0h 32m SQL Injection Cyber Security Course https://www.udemy.com/course/sql-injection-cyber-security-course/?couponCode=SQL-AA
  5. [English] 1h 18m Healing Your Root Chakra https://www.udemy.com/course/healing-your-root-chakra/?couponCode=HYRCEEXPNOV52020
  6. [English] 0h 30m Change your mindset :Think it into existence https://www.udemy.com/course/change-your-mindset-think-it-into-existence/?couponCode=8E45BAB87F8B2EA2BF1B
  7. [English] 1h 54m Online Course Essentials - Online Course as Fast As Possible https://www.udemy.com/course/online-course-essentials-online-course-as-fast-as-possible/?couponCode=EB1081432EAECEA133F4
  8. [Arabic] 3h 22m Basics of Pricing (Arabic) سلسلة التسويق: أساسيات التسعير https://www.udemy.com/course/basics-of-pricing-arabic/?couponCode=FREE112020
  9. [English] 16h 8m SELL Like Hell: Facebook Ads for E-Commerce Ultimate MASTERY https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-conversion-ads/?couponCode=TOP111
  10. [English] 32h 7m Python Bootcamp 2020 Build 15 working Applications and Games https://www.udemy.com/course/python-complete-bootcamp-2019-learn-by-applying-knowledge/?couponCode=NOVE01
  11. [Spanish] 27h 20m After Effects CC Masterclass - Actualizado a CC 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/after-effects-cc-la-guia-completa-para-crear-animaciones/?couponCode=GRATISNOV
  12. [Spanish] 3h 0m Excel Aplicado al Análisis Financiero https://www.udemy.com/course/excel-aplicado-al-analisis-financiero/?couponCode=GRATISNOV
  13. [English] 0h 59m How to Make Passive Income With Bitcoin Lending https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-make-passive-income-with-bitcoin-lending/?couponCode=NOVFRW2020
  14. [English] 0h 56m The Acne Cure https://www.udemy.com/course/the-acne-cure/?couponCode=2D2AA93ED40A4159BA27
  15. [English] 0h 57m Learn Photoshop - Essential Training Course https://www.udemy.com/course/master-your-skills-in-photoshop/?couponCode=PHOTOSHOPFREE
  16. [English] 1h 44m How to Make Money Online for Beginners: Follow PROVEN STEPS! https://www.udemy.com/course/make-money-online-for-beginners/?couponCode=3A47650DF8EE4BF40254
  17. [English] 2h 36m EIQ-2 Teamwork Makes the Dream Work https://www.udemy.com/course/teamwork-eq2/?couponCode=EIQTMEXPNOV52020
  18. [English] 0h 59m Healing Your Sacral Chakra https://www.udemy.com/course/healing-sacral-chakra/?couponCode=HYSCEXPNOV52020
  19. [English] 2h 1m The Search For Self - Being Authentic https://www.udemy.com/course/be-authentic/?couponCode=TSFSBEXPNOV52020
  20. [English] 2h 7m EFT Your Fear of Public Speaking https://www.udemy.com/course/fear-of-public-speaking/?couponCode=EFTYREXPNOV52020
  21. [English] 1h 43m Requirements Architecture and Design Options (IIBA - ECBA) https://www.udemy.com/course/requirements-architecture-and-design-options-iiba-ecba/?couponCode=D17D04FAD03AC4222DCF
  22. [English] 1h 51m Operations Management: Operations and the Organization https://www.udemy.com/course/operations-management-and-the-organization/?couponCode=C61DDDE8738BDE810B32
  23. [English] 1h 41m Planning Stakeholder Engagement (PMI - PMP) https://www.udemy.com/course/planning-stakeholder-engagement-pmi-pmp/?couponCode=7215DC7F38E434F99258
  24. [English] 1h 25 Managing Stakeholder Engagement (PMI - PMP) https://www.udemy.com/course/managing-stakeholder-engagement-pmi-pmp/?couponCode=C39741ABFA56DB9ED50E
  25. [English] 1h 49m Reducing Waste and Streamlining Value Flow Using Lean https://www.udemy.com/course/reducing-waste-and-streamlining-value-flow-using-lean/?couponCode=08A47F5C122157273422
  26. [Spanish] 6h 45m YouTube Masterclass - La Guía Completa de Youtube https://www.udemy.com/course/youtube-masterclass-la-guia-completa-de-youtube/?couponCode=GRATISNOV
  27. [Spanish] 29h 51m Excel TOTAL - [2020] - VBA, Tablas Dinámicas, Dashboards y + https://www.udemy.com/course/excel-total-de-nada-a-todo-incluye-bva-y-macros/?couponCode=GRATISNOV
  28. [English] 4h 2m HTML & CSS - Certification Course for Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/html-css-certification-course-for-beginners/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  29. [English] 4h 0m Bootstrap & jQuery - Certification Course for Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/bootstrap-jquery-certification-course-for-beginners/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  30. [English] 1h 17m Entrepreneurship - Ft. Matthew Rolnick of Yaymaker, Groupon https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-succeed-as-an-entrepreneur-a-beginners-guide/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  31. [English] 0h 58m How to Install a Free SSL Certificate using Let's Encrypt https://www.udemy.com/course/fix-googles-new-not-secure-warning-with-lets-encrypt/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  32. [English] 1h 31m Install NGINX, PHP, MySQL, SSL & WordPress on Ubuntu 18.04 https://www.udemy.com/course/install-nginx-php-mysql-ssl-wordpress-on-ubuntu/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  33. [English] 1h 13m Learn to Host Multiple Domains on one Virtual Server https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-to-host-multiple-domains-on-one-virtual-serve?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  34. [English] 4h 48m Build an Amazon Affiliate E-Commerce Store from Scratch https://www.udemy.com/course/build-an-amazon-affiliate-e-commerce-store-from-scratch/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  35. [English] 4h 53m Persuasive Writing Ft. Two Forbes Contributors & Copywriters https://www.udemy.com/course/persuasive-writing-copywriting/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  36. [English] 8h 0m Adobe Lightroom Masterclass - Beginner to Expert https://www.udemy.com/course/adobe-lightroom-masterclass-beginner-to-expert/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  37. [English] 20h 21m Certified Lean Six Sigma Green Belt Training https://www.udemy.com/course/certified-lean-six-sigma-black-belt-training/?couponCode=SIGMA3
  38. [English] 23h 32m Ultimate Digital Marketing Masterclass - 17 Courses in 1 https://www.udemy.com/course/advance-digital-marketing-course/?couponCode=DIGITAL3
  39. [English] 18h 9m Adobe Photoshop Mega Course-From Beginner to Super Designer https://www.udemy.com/course/photoshop-mega-course-from-beginner-to-super-designe?couponCode=13355FF96BD7B716AD33
  40. [English] 1h 51m IP address Basics to Advance https://www.udemy.com/course/ip-address-basics-to-advance/?couponCode=UNLIMITEDFREE
  41. [English] 1h 21m Speak to Win and Influence https://www.udemy.com/course/speak-to-win-and-influence/?couponCode=568F8F80DDBCAC2FC1E6
  42. [English] 0h 37m The Advanced HTML 5 Course https://www.udemy.com/course/advanced-css-3-practical-course-2020/?couponCode=RIMAN-17
  43. [English] 0h 43m An Advanced JQuery Practical Course https://www.udemy.com/course/an-advanced-jquery-practical-course/?couponCode=HUINAAM
  44. [English] 0h 40m Learn JQuery Programming Practically https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-jquery-programming-practically/?couponCode=ANANAA
  45. [English] 0h 32m The HTML 5 Course 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/a-beginners-guide-to-learn-css-3-from-scratch/?couponCode=KOMEN-11
  46. [English] 3h 8m Digital Marketing Certification: Master Digital Marketing https://www.udemy.com/course/digital-marketing-seo-google-ads-google-analytics-monitoring/?couponCode=7B3E9737048B7B359125
  47. [English] 6h 3m Product Owner PSPO 1 Scrum Product Owner Certification Prep https://www.udemy.com/course/product-owner-course/?couponCode=FREE-LAUNCH
  48. [English] 2h 57m Learn Portuguese (from Portugal) - A1 & A2 levels https://www.udemy.com/course/aprender-portugues-de-portugal-nivel-iniciante/?couponCode=B4542AE9AFF07A57C58B
  49. [English] 0h 57m Become an UltraLearner: The #1 Study Framework for Success https://www.udemy.com/course/become-a-superlearner-learning-how-to-learn-studyskills-superbrain/?couponCode=SUPERLEARNER
  50. [English] 9h 50m Journalism -TV Reporters, News Anchors Look Great on TV https://www.udemy.com/course/on-camera-skills-for-tv-reporters-and-news-anchors/?couponCode=EEDBB19525AD0DEBFAA1
  51. [English] 16h 56m Tableau 2020 Certification Training (basic to advanced) https://www.udemy.com/course/tableau-certification-training/?couponCode=TABLEAU_FREE_UPLATZ
  52. [English] 4h 28m Microsoft Excel -Basic Excel/ Advanced Excel Formulas https://www.udemy.com/course/microsoft-excel-basic-excel-advanced-excel-formulas/?couponCode=F06DE6E3881DB100F10A
  53. [English] 8h 14m ICT Taskforce: Microsoft Office | Word Expert https://www.udemy.com/course/ict-taskforce-microsoft-office-word-expert/?couponCode=2ND_JOIN
  54. [English] 2h 27m The Complete Microsoft Excel Pivot Tables and Pivot Charts https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-microsoft-excel-pivot-tables-and-pivot-charts/?couponCode=PIVOTNOV02
  55. [English] 20h 17m Angular 8 Certification Training (basic to advanced level) https://www.udemy.com/course/angular-8-certification-training/?couponCode=ANGULAR_FREE_UPLATZ
  56. [English] 20h 16m Web Development Masterclass - Complete Certificate Course https://www.udemy.com/course/web-development-masterclass-complete-certificate-course/?couponCode=YOUACCELNOV02
  57. [English] 30h 42m Body Language to Help Your Business Career https://www.udemy.com/course/body-language-for-business-people/?couponCode=A3A438C910E0AB8F73E6
  58. [English] 0h 53m Presentation Skills for Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/presentation-skills-for-beginners/?couponCode=1A91D95447FDE0A43685
  59. [English] 1h 21m Teacher Training: Teachers Can Be Great Speakers https://www.udemy.com/course/how-teachers-and-educators-can-lecture-more-effectively/?couponCode=42E3EE6D8BEAA1CBA8FC
  60. [English] 2h 59m The Complete Motivation Course: Motivation for Your Success https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-motivation-course-motivation-for-your-success/?couponCode=EA056EA956B3F285D851
  61. [English] 1h 24m The Complete Google Forms Course - Sending & Analyzing Forms https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-google-forms-course-sending-analyzing-forms/?couponCode=221A0232CC03C18AAB9E
  62. [English] 3h 15m Complete Positive Psychology Course Master Positive Thinking https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-positive-psychology-course-master-positive-thinking/?couponCode=3181BED160E6DB2B997F
  63. [English] 0h 57m Public Speaking: Give a Great Retirement Speech! https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-give-a-retirement-speech/?couponCode=A860C9F7185CBFBAC809
  64. [English] 4h 16m Forex Scalping Strategy Course-Guide in Scalping the Forex https://www.udemy.com/course/forex-scalping-strategy-course-guide-in-scalping-the-forex/?couponCode=5E8B7EDD9D69DF1466CB
  65. [English] 2h 44m Basics of Database Design & Development https://www.udemy.com/course/database-design-development/?couponCode=BASICSDBNOV2020
  66. [English] 8h 58m Complete Javascript development Bootcamp 2020 with projects https://www.udemy.com/course/javascript-development-bootcamp-2020-wprojects/?couponCode=84451E371A84971A60D6
  67. [English] 11h 16m DIY Advance Options Trading Strategies (5 Courses) 11 Hours https://www.udemy.com/course/options1/?couponCode=1NOV20
  68. [English] 3h 20m Mastering The Complete Agile Scrum Master Workshop https://www.udemy.com/course/mastering-agile-scrum-workshop/?couponCode=3AFADDDE9F95DEF77F64
  69. [English] 1h 23m English grammar tenses & structures, the ultimate course https://www.udemy.com/course/english-grammar-tenses-structures-the-ultimate-course/?couponCode=NOVEMBERFIRST
  70. [English] 3h 34m The beginners guide to coding https://www.udemy.com/course/the-beginners-guide-to-coding/?couponCode=GETSTARTED1
  71. [English] 2h 52m Learn 4 Steps to Make Money Online with Affiliate Marketing! https://www.udemy.com/course/make-money-with-affiliate-marketing-online/?couponCode=28DEF10A379BC9EB54ED
  72. [English] 1h 19m A Motivational Course For Teachers 31 Days of Teacher Praise https://www.udemy.com/course/a-motivational-course-for-teachers-31-days-of-teacher-praise/?couponCode=NOV12020
  73. [English] 0h 46m Mindfulness For Depression, Anxiety, PTSD, Stress Sampler https://www.udemy.com/course/mindfulness-for-depression-anxiety-ptsd-stress-sample?couponCode=NOV12020
  74. [English] 0h 44m Remote Teaching Online // How To Record Lectures at Home https://www.udemy.com/course/remote-teaching-how-to-record-lectures-at-home/?couponCode=DB9465AE25F8F1DBAA2B
  75. [English] 9h 30m Automate the Boring Stuff with Python Programming https://www.udemy.com/course/automate/?couponCode=NOV2020FREE
  76. [English] 2h 58m International Logistics & Transportation in Supply Chain. https://www.udemy.com/course/shipping-logistics-business-in-supply-chain-export-import/?couponCode=CF5BA0FCADFC858B52A8
  77. [English] 1h 4m 21 Email Etiquette Rules Every Professional Should Follow https://www.udemy.com/course/email-writing-course/?couponCode=EMAIL2
  78. [English] 5h 47m R Programming A-Z- R For Data Science and Statistics https://www.udemy.com/course/r-programming-a-z-r-for-data-science-and-statistics/?couponCode=COURSE2
  79. [English] 10h 33m Advance Stock Options Trading Strategies (5 Courses) 10 Hour https://www.udemy.com/course/advance-option-strategies-bundle/?couponCode=1NOV20
  80. [English] 12h 2m Python And Flask Framework Complete Course https://www.udemy.com/course/flask-framework-complete-course-for-beginners/?couponCode=2B3EF1C4A5E3530CAFA7
  81. [English] 18h 21m Python,Flask Framework And Django Course For Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/python-and-flask-and-django-course-for-beginners/?couponCode=57B85C8D65049B79BADB
  82. [English] 16h 40m Complete Video Production, Marketing, & YouTube Mastery 2021 https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-video-marketing-course/?couponCode=TOP111
  83. [English] 30h 30m The Complete Reiki Course: 30+ Hours of Secrets from A to Z https://www.udemy.com/course/reiki-complete-certification-energy-healing-crystal-master-shaman-pet/?couponCode=FB9C7DD1E
  84. [English] 12h 37m Learn User Experience Design from A-Z: Adobe XD UI/UX Design https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-user-experience-design-from-a-z/?couponCode=7A166B6ED6D3BF6110DE
  85. [English] 26h 11m GET on TOP of Real Estate Business with Facebook Ads in 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-ads-for-real-estate-business/?couponCode=ULTRATOP1
  86. [English] 39h 52m BEST of SEO: #1 SEO Training & Content Marketing Course 2021 $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/seo-training-2021/?couponCode=1NOV999
  87. [English] 56h 8m The Complete Digital Marketing Course for Local Businesses $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/local-digital-marketing/?couponCode=1NOV999
  88. [English] 13.5hrs + $12.99 [Code: NOVOLEARN2020] 115 Courses – PMP (42 Hours), Agile (32 Hours), PMI-RMP/IIBA-ECBA (37 Hours), Business Analysis (16.5 hours), Operations Management (13.5 Hours) & More https://www.udemy.com/usesorindumitrascu/
  89. [English] 28hrs+ $19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Solutions Architect Associate Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud https://learn.digitalcloud.training/aws-certified-solutions-architect-ultimate-exam-training?add-to-cart=20244&quantity=1&is_buy_now=1
  90. [English] 12hrs+ $19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Cloud Practitioner Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud https://learn.digitalcloud.training/aws-certified-cloud-practitioner-ultimate-exam-training?add-to-cart=21372&quantity=1&is_buy_now=1
  91. [English] 33hrs $9 Master JavaScript – The Most Complete JavaScript Course 2020 [ Code : MASTERWEB ] https://www.eduonix.com/master-javascript-the-most-complete-javascript-course-2020?coupon_code=MASTERWEB
  92. [English] BEST of Digital Marketing: #1 Digital Marketing Course 2021 $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/digital-marketing-2021/?couponCode=1NOV999
  93. [English] 27h 55m AWS Certified Solutions Architect Associate - 2020 [SAA-C02] $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-certified-solutions-architect-associate-hands-on-labs/?couponCode=AWSNOV
  94. [English] 390 questions AWS Certified Solutions Architect Associate Practice Exams $12 https://www.udemy.com/course/aws-certified-solutions-architect-associate-practice-tests-k/?couponCode=AWSNOV
  95. [English] 19h 3m Complete Google Certified Educator Level 1 Masterclass $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/complete-google-certified-educator-level-1-masterclass/?couponCode=THANKS2
  96. [English] 26h 26m The Complete English Language Course Improve Spoken English $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-english-language-course-improve-spoken-english/?couponCode=THANKS1
  97. [English] 8h 9m Facebook Dynamic Ads (Facebook Dynamic Retargeting) MASTERY $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/facebook-dynamic-ads/?couponCode=1NOV999
  98. [English] 42h 20m Project Management Professional Certification Program (PMP) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/project-management-professional-certification-program-pmp/?couponCode=NOVOLEARN2020
  99. [English] 37h 7m Risk Management for Business Analysts (PMI-RMP/IIBA-ECBA) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/risk-management-for-business-analysts-pmi-rmpiiba-ecba/?couponCode=NOVOLEARN2020
  100. [English] 31h 16m The Agile Methodology for Project Risk Managers $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-agile-methodology-for-project-risk-managers/?couponCode=NOVOLEARN2020
  101. [English] 21h 6m The Agile Certified Practitioner Training Program (PMI-ACP) $12.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/the-agile-certified-practitioner-training-program-pmi-acp/?couponCode=NOVOLEARN2020
submitted by ViralMedia007 to FREECoursesEveryday [link] [comments]

How does one come up with a strategy?

Hi guys, I've been learning forex for about a year now. Demo traded, went well. Traded with real, went very well, but then Trump's tweets came, the whole acandal where thos big banks were caught manipulating markets and and and well my account went to shit. Luckily not much and money I considered not mine when I put it in the account.
With that aside, how does one come up with a strategy? Do you stare at charts, looking for patterns, playing with indicators and backtesting, till you find something that can maybe work? Cause thats what I've been trying and failing at🤣 And I don't even dare to google strategies. No thanks Mr Nigeria prins, I'll keep my liver.😂
Hope this isn't too much of a shitpost. Keep well.
submitted by Brafaan to Forex [link] [comments]

Why does Forex gets such a bad rep?

If you don't know what I am talking about, just type it up. Take 15 seconds of your time, go in google images, and see the difference when you type "Forex lifestyle" and "stock market lifestyle".
Theoretically, Forex trading isn't much different than stock trading. Both are financial markets using charts with candlestick that create the same patterns. Both rely on reports, news and the economy. Also, just like the stock market, banks and big insitutions trade forex too.
In fact, forex is the largest financial market in the world with a daily volume around $6.6 trillion compared to only $200 billions for all the stock markets. Forex is responsible for the exchange of goods between countries. It is literally the foundation of a worldwide economy.
So why is it that when someone asks you what you do for a living or that when you tell someone you're trading forex, you always get that weird suspicious look as if you're a fraud yourself.
Why is it that people don't take seriously what you do and what you love doing, because they have this weird idea of a pyramid scheme created in their head. People are so lost. I mean, how could it even be a scam lmao. No matter what you trade: stocks, options, etf, bonds, forex, name them all... trading is trading.
As long as I am making money and know what I am doing, and couldn't care less about other people's opinion nowdays lol. But lately I've been asking myself this question and I simply wanted to know other people's opinions.
So back to my question: why does Forex gets such a bad rep?
submitted by PappyNova01 to Forex [link] [comments]

69 Free & Few Best Selling Discounted Udemy

Some codes are going to expire soon in few hours to 2 days . So be quick !!
Source : https://freebiesglobal.com/
  1. [English] 10h 36m Excel for Financial Analysis and Financial Modeling https://www.udemy.com/course/excel-for-financial-analysis-financial-modeling/?couponCode=OCTXXX20 19hrs left at this price!
  2. [English] 2h 39m Excel Analytics: Linear Regression Analysis in MS Excel https://www.udemy.com/course/predictive-regression-modelling-in-microsoft-excel/?couponCode=OCTXXX20 19hrs left at this price!
  3. [English] 5h 29m CCA 175 Spark and Hadoop Developer Certification using Scala https://www.udemy.com/course/cca-175-spark-and-hadoop-developer-certification-using-scala/?couponCode=D21B6EB1FA4C8F954044 2 Days left at this price!
  4. [English] 22h 34m Fundamentals of Engineering Thermodynamics https://www.udemy.com/course/fundamentals-of-thermodynamics/?couponCode=FREE_NOV_2020 2 Days left at this price!
  5. [English] 0h 29m The Principles of Furniture Selection for Home https://www.udemy.com/course/the-principles-of-furniture-selection-for-home/?couponCode=0B13EB712B95F868C674 2 Days left at this price!
  6. [English] 1h 32m Passive Income: 17 Ways to Earn Passive Income Online https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-earn-passive-income-online/?couponCode=93E7655E41CAE2D1E866 2 Days left at this price!
  7. [English] 10h 21m 2020 Ultimate Guide to YouTube Channel & YouTube Masterclass https://www.udemy.com/course/tubeheroes/?couponCode=E6B7C45C90A0011D7B3F 2 Days left at this price!
  8. [English] 1h 15m Earn Passive Income by Working from Home with Gumroad https://www.udemy.com/course/earn-passive-income-by-working-from-home-with-gumroad/?couponCode=80EB750F643F5A5B07E4 2 Days left at this price!
  9. [English] 17h 35m Learn to Code with Python 3! https://www.udemy.com/course/python3-for-beginners/?couponCode=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  10. [English] 22h 12m Digital Marketing Agency Elite Consultants Masterclass https://www.udemy.com/course/digital-marketing-agency-consultants-masterclass/?couponCode=6C72DCF77FB7FB24FBD1 2 Days left at this price!
  11. [English] 11h 50m Learn Ethical Hacking From A-Z: Beginner To Expert Course https://freebiesglobal.com/the-complete-ethical-hacking-course 2 Days left at this price!
  12. [English] 2h 31m Become a Paid Body Language Expert https://www.udemy.com/course/bodylanguagecourse/?couponCode=00E9BEE6D18294197397 2 Days left at this price!
  13. [English] 4h 33m SEO Masterclass: Rank Your Website Higher with Better SEO https://www.udemy.com/course/google-seo-course/?couponCode=MYSTERY2 2 Days left at this price!
  14. [German] 4h 2m Investieren: ETF's für den langfristigen Vermögensaufbau https://www.udemy.com/course/etfs-fur-den-langfrisitgen-vermogensaufbau/?couponCode=710DF5FFA0BF14A6E8FC 2 Days left at this price!
  15. [English] 1h 6m YouTube Marketing Certification (2021 Edition) https://www.udemy.com/course/viralnomics-creating-youtube-video-ideas-that-go-viral/?couponCode=192A96B2CEB91B160BFA 2 Days left at this price!
  16. [English] 0h 44m 3D Animation Film-Making with Plotagon Certification (2021) https://www.udemy.com/course/ultra-speed-3d-animation-film-making-with-plotagon/?couponCode=8AAD7F0C6403347BEBD6 2 Days left at this price!
  17. [English] 1h 34m Artificial Intelligence in Video Creation Certification 2021 https://www.udemy.com/course/artificial-intelligence-video-creation-amazing-video-tools/?couponCode=0CF0BEAEF9A2A425D4EA 2 Days left at this price!
  18. [English] 1h 3m Online Branded TV Channel Creation Certification (2021) https://www.udemy.com/course/fast-video-curation-create-an-online-branded-tv-channel/?couponCode=952AE208EF6517D48F1C 2 Days left at this price!
  19. [English] 0h 53m Influencer Content Marketing Certification (2021 Edition) https://www.udemy.com/course/influencer-content-marketing-killer-tactics-for-2017/?couponCode=095F69F68AAC8330DFF1 2 Days left at this price!
  20. [English] 0h 54m Artificial Intelligence Music Creation Certification (2021) https://www.udemy.com/course/artificial-intelligence-music-creation-remixing-2018/?couponCode=2CEE7BCA18A27EC6E440 2 Days left at this price!
  21. [English] 1h 2m Artificial Intelligence Presentation Creation (2021 Edition) https://www.udemy.com/course/artificial-intelligence-presentation-creation-secrets-2018/?couponCode=5AAA5D023C8260B1AFBE 2 Days left at this price!
  22. [English] 0h 43m Event Management in 3D Virtual Worlds (2021 Edition) https://www.udemy.com/course/create-your-own-virtual-3d-events-in-v?couponCode=E217F61AAE3CDC9A62EC 2 Days left at this price!
  23. [English] 1h 39m Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (A Complete Guide 2020) https://www.udemy.com/course/novel-coronavirus-sars-cov-2-covid19/?couponCode=END_OCT_WTH_LOCKDOWN 2 Days left at this price!
  24. [English] 2h 4m Ultimate Crash Course on Cloud Computing 2020 (Amazon AWS) https://www.udemy.com/course/the-ultimate-crash-course-on-cloud-computing-aws/?couponCode=LAST_OCTOBER_SALE 2 Days left at this price!
  25. [English] 1h 57m Start Coding Browser Extensions Using JavaScript! https://www.udemy.com/course/google-chrome-extension/?couponCode=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  26. [English] 3h 15m Intro To Marketing For Small Businesses Course. https://www.udemy.com/course/marketing-fundamentals-for-small-businesses-course/?couponCode=E3D1DBB61B4A53A5D463 2 Days left at this price!
  27. [English] 2h 9m Business Fundamentals For Small Startups Entrepreneurs. https://www.udemy.com/course/practical-guide-to-business-planning-for-small-businesses/?couponCode=3F474C0FC3A66644CC27 2 Days left at this price!
  28. [English] 1h 52m Intro To Business Branding For Small Businesses Course. https://www.udemy.com/course/fundamental-of-branding-for-small-business/?couponCode=9A579F8C37042BA7147C 2 Days left at this price!
  29. [English] 3h 20m Most Essential & Popular Excel Formulas And Functions - 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/most-essential-popular-excel-formulas-and-functions/?couponCode=MOSTOCT31 2 Days left at this price!
  30. [English] 1h 57m Advanced Microsoft Excel Formulas & Functions Course 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/advanced-microsoft-excel-formulas-functions/?couponCode=PIVOTOCT31 2 Days left at this price!
  31. [English] 2h 28m WordPress for Absolute Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/wordpress-for-absolute-beginners-course/?couponCode=WORDPRESSNOV2020 2 Days left at this price!
  32. [English] 6h 45m Python For Beginners Course In-Depth https://www.udemy.com/course/python-for-beginners-course-in-depth/?couponCode=80BADBA12E579F447281 1 Day left at this price!
  33. [Spanish] 5h 9m PHOTOSHOP para PRINCIPIANTES | Nivel 0-0 https://www.udemy.com/course/photoshop-2020-para-principiantes/?couponCode=36BDB6E34D115B964F15 2 Days left at this price!
  34. [English] 5h 55m The Self-Taught Programmer https://freebiesglobal.com/the-self-taught-programmer 2 Days left at this price!
  35. [English] 7h 24m Microsoft Excel Training: Learn Essential Excel Skills https://www.udemy.com/course/microsoft-excel-training-learn-essential-excel-skills/?couponCode=FREE_NOV_2020 2 Days left at this price!
  36. [English] 6h 24m HTML, JavaScript, & Bootstrap - Certification Course https://www.udemy.com/course/html-javascript-bootstrap-certification-course/?couponCode=YOUACCELOCT30 19 hrs left at this price!
  37. [English] 2h 0m The Ultimate Guide to Scrum Fundamentals- 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/scrum-genman/?couponCode=GOSCRUM 2 Days left at this price!
  38. [English] 24h 14m The Complete Full-Stack JavaScript Course! https://www.udemy.com/course/full-stack-javascript/?couponCode=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  39. [English] 16h 48m The Complete Front-End Web Development Course! https://www.udemy.com/course/front-end-web-development/?couponCode=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  40. [English] 19h 25m The Complete Ethical Hacking Course! https://www.udemy.com/course/ethical-hacking-professional/?couponCode=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  41. [English] 7h 22m Linux for Absolute Beginners! https://www.udemy.com/course/linux-system-admin/?couponCode=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  42. [English] 2h 36m Learn HTML5 Programming From Beginner to Pro https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-html5-programming-from-beginner-to-pro/?couponCode=D8CE6156DD83AE0498AF 1 Day left at this price!
  43. [English] 3h 35m Agile Project Management: Agile, Scrum & XP https://www.udemy.com/course/agile-project-management-genman/?couponCode=LEARNAGILE 1 Day left at this price!
  44. [English] 2h 50m Chart Pattern Trading via Day Trade Stock Options Intro https://www.udemy.com/course/how-to-trade-stock-options-level-1-start-day-trading/?couponCode=CPTDTEXPNOV22020 1 Day left at this price!
  45. [English] 2h 15m Learn HTML - For Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-html-for-beginners/?couponCode=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price!
  46. [English] 1h 15m Learn jQuery - For Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-jquery-for-beginners/?couponCode=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price!
  47. [English] 3h 52m Internet and Web Development Fundamentals https://www.udemy.com/course/internet-and-web-development-fundamentals/?couponCode=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price!
  48. [English] 1h 27m Learn MySQL - For Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-mysql-for-beginners/?couponCode=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price!
  49. [English] 1h 47m Learn PHP - For Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-php-for-beginners-n/?couponCode=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price!
  50. [English] 1h 28m Learn JavaScript - For Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-javascript-for-beginners-v/?couponCode=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price!
  51. [English] 2h 23m Learn XML-AJAX - For Beginners https://www.udemy.com/course/learn-xml-ajax-for-beginners/?couponCode=YOUACCEL0CT30 1 Day left at this price!
  52. [English] 2h 13m Basic Arabic Reading https://www.udemy.com/course/basic-arabic-reading/?couponCode=FREEOCT 1 Day left at this price!
  53. [English] 1h 17m How To Spend Your First (Or Next) Ten Days Without a Job https://www.udemy.com/course/tendayswithoutajob/?couponCode=GHOSTBUSTER 19 hrs left at this price!
  54. [English] 7h 20m SQL Masterclass: SQL for Data Analytics https://www.udemy.com/course/the-complete-sql-masterclass-for-data-analytics/?couponCode=OCTXXX20 19 hrs left at this price!
  55. [English] 3h 49m Introduction to Forex- learn to trade forex by yourself https://www.udemy.com/course/introduction-to-forex-learn-to-trade-forex-by-yourself/?couponCode=0D1CF2215B647C5B8D9A 1 Day left at this price!
  56. [English] 1h 10m How to find Remote Work in 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/find-remote-work/?couponCode=BIRTHDAY2020 1 Day left at this price!
  57. [English] 1h 0m Basics Of Stop Motion Animation Using Canva And OpenShot https://www.udemy.com/course/basics-of-stop-motion-animation-using-canva-and-openshot/?couponCode=EB1C917A9B7E86E084FE 1 Day left at this price!
  58. [English] 0h 49m Color Theory Basics: Learning Color Theory With Adobe Color https://www.udemy.com/course/color-theory-basics-learning-color-theory-with-adobe-colo?couponCode=CA8B58089502E049ED08 1 Day left at this price!
  59. [English] 3h 37m Intro To Basic Video Creation https://www.udemy.com/course/intro-to-basic-video-creation/?couponCode=FA422DC22492093E2287 1 Day left at this price!
  60. [English] 2h 19m Introduction To The Basics Of Melt & Pour Soap https://www.udemy.com/course/introduction-to-the-basics-of-melt-pour-soap/?couponCode=E9078CCB3D9D5AD103F8 1 Day left at this price!
  61. [English] 2h 27m Business/Corporate Finance & DCF Valuation: Zero to Pro https://www.udemy.com/course/business-finance-terms-for-everyone/?couponCode=77054E93295CE3FAA355 1 Day left at this price!
  62. [English] 2h 41m Object-Oriented Programming - From Basics to Advance (Java) https://www.udemy.com/course/oop-learnit/?couponCode=OOP_OCT_FREE_3 1 Day left at this price!
  63. [English] 9h 3m Java from Zero to First Job: Part 1 - Java Basics, OOP, Git https://www.udemy.com/course/java-development-for-beginners-learnit/?couponCode=JAVA_OCT_FREE_3 1 Day left at this price!
  64. [English] 1h 53m INTERNET MARKETING MASTERY - Learn how to Earn Money Online https://www.udemy.com/course/make-money-as-digital-nomads/?couponCode=ILMMLHEXPNOV2020 1 Day left at this price!
  65. [English] 6h 15m Zero to Hero in Microsoft Excel: Complete Excel guide 2020 https://www.udemy.com/course/excel-quick-start-guide-from-beginner-to-expert/?couponCode=OCTXXX20 19 hrs left at this price!
  66. [English] 1h 19m Escape the City: StartUp School - Launch Your Business Idea! https://www.udemy.com/course/escape-the-city-startup-school-launch-your-business-idea/?couponCode=3F8D6062EDB9C190AAB3 19 hrs left at this price!
  67. [English] 0h 33m St John Ambulance: Official Baby & Paediatric First Aid https://www.udemy.com/course/st-john-ambulance-baby-first-aid/?couponCode=02962ADE3BD2552D1502 19 hrs left at this price!
  68. [English] 6h 57m STRESS MASTERCLASS : 8-Week Stress Relief Training https://www.udemy.com/course/stress-masterclass-8-week-stress-relief-training/?couponCode=STRESSFREE 1 Day left at this price!
  69. [English] 0h 56m Designing Landing Pages in Figma: Techniques and Processes https://www.udemy.com/course/designing-landing-pages-in-figma-techniques-and-processes/?couponCode=469B1768076B3F26FD7B 19 hrs left at this price!
  70. [English] 39h 52m BEST of SEO: #1 SEO Training & Content Marketing Course 2021 $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/seo-training-2021/?couponCode=1NOV999 4 Days left at this price!
  71. [English] 56h 8m The Complete Digital Marketing Course for Local Businesses $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/local-digital-marketing/?couponCode=1NOV999 4 Days left at this price!
  72. [English] 31h 10m TJ Walker's 1-Hour Public Speaking Presentation Skills Class $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/tj-walkers-1-hour-public-speaking-presentation-skills-class/?couponCode=THANKS1 2 Days left at this price!
  73. [English] 28h 27m Winning Communication Skills for Telephone, Conference Calls $9.99 https://www.udemy.com/course/telephone-conference-calls-workplace-communication-skills/?couponCode=THANKS2 2 Days left at this price!
  74. [English] 13.5hrs + $12.99 [Code: NOVOLEARN2020] 115 Courses – PMP (42 Hours), Agile (32 Hours), PMI-RMP/IIBA-ECBA (37 Hours), Business Analysis (16.5 hours), Operations Management (13.5 Hours) & More https://www.udemy.com/usesorindumitrascu/
  75. [English] 28hrs+ $19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Solutions Architect Associate Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud $19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Solutions Architect Associate Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud https://learn.digitalcloud.training/aws-certified-solutions-architect-ultimate-exam-training?add-to-cart=20244&quantity=1&is_buy_now=1
  76. [English] 12hrs+ $19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Cloud Practitioner Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud $19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Cloud Practitioner Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud https://learn.digitalcloud.training/aws-certified-cloud-practitioner-ultimate-exam-training?add-to-cart=21372&quantity=1&is_buy_now=1
  77. [English] 33hrs $9 Master JavaScript – The Most Complete JavaScript Course 2020 [ Code : MASTERWEB ] https://www.eduonix.com/master-javascript-the-most-complete-javascript-course-2020?coupon_code=MASTERWEB
submitted by ViralMedia007 to FREECoursesEveryday [link] [comments]

3 years, 28 pairs and 310 trades later

This thread is the direct continuation of my previous entry, which you can find here. I have the feeling my rambles may be long, so I'm not going to repeat anything I already said in my previous post for the sake of keeping this brief.
What is this?
I am backtesting the strategy shared by ParallaxFx. I have just completed my second run of testing, and I am here to share my results with those who are interested. If you want to read more about the strategy, go to my previous thread where I linked it.
What changed?
Instead of using a fixed target of the -100.0 Fibonacci extension, I tracked both the -61.8 and the -100.0 targets. ParallaxFx used the -61.8 as a target, but never tried the second one, so I wanted to compare the two and see what happens.
Where can I see your backtested result?
I am going to do something I hope I won't regret and share the link to my spreadsheet. Hopefully I won't be doxxed, but I think I should be fine. You can find my spreadsheet at this link. There are a lot of entries, so it may take a while for them to load. In the "Trades" tab, you will find every trade I backtested with an attached screenshot and the results it would have had with the extended and the unextended target. You can see the UNCOMPOUNDED equity curve in the Summary tab, together with the overall statistics for the system.
What was the sample size?
I backtested on the Daily chart, from January 2017 to December 2019, over 28 currency pairs. I took a total of 310 trades - although keep in mind that every position is most often composed by two entries, meaning that you can roughly halve this number.
What is the bottom line?
If you're not interested in the details, here are the stats of the strategy based on how I traded it.
Here you can see the two uncompounded equity curves side by side: red is unextended and blue is extended.
Who wins?
The test suggests the strategy to be more profitable with the extended target. In addition, most of the trades that reached the unextended target but reversed before reaching the extended, were trades that I would have most likely not have taken with the extented target. This is because there was a resistance/support area in the way of the -100.0 extension level, but there was enough room for price to reach the -61.8 level.
I will probably trade this strategy using the -100.0 level as target, unless there is an area in the way. In that case I will go for the unextended target.
Drawdown management
The expected losing streak for this system, using the extended target, is 7 trades in a row in a sample size of 100 trades. My goal is to have a drawdown cap of 4%, so my risk per trade will be 0.54%. If I ever find myself in a losing streak of more than 8 trades, I will reduce my risk per trade further.
What's next?
I'll be taking this strategy live. The wisest move would be to repeat the same testing over lower timeframes to verify the edge plays out there as well, but I would not be able to trust my results because I would have vague memories of where price went because of the testing I just did. I also believe markets are fractals, so I see no reason why this wouldn't work on lower timeframes.
Before going live, I will expand this spreadsheet to include more specific analysis and I will continue backtesting at a slower pace. The goal is to reach 20 years of backtesting over these 28 pairs and put everything into this spreadsheet. It's not something I will do overnight, but I'll probably do one year every odd day, and maybe a couple more during the weekend.
I think I don't have much else to add. I like the strategy. Feel free to ask questions.
submitted by Vanguer to Forex [link] [comments]

Profitable Forex Strategy Reddit | 3 Easy Forex Strategies Easy For MT4

Profitable Forex Strategy Reddit | 3 Easy Forex Strategies Easy For MT4

The need for a trading strategy in Forex market

https://preview.redd.it/r6u8stdmeaw51.jpg?width=1320&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1b0292502d6e68f5c220af5a5851aeb8061b395b
Almost all trading manuals talk about the need to have your own trading strategy. First of all, the process of creating your trading scheme allows you to perfectly understand trading and exclude from it any eventuality that hides additional risk.
Profitable forex strategy: it is a type of instruction for the trader, which helps to follow a clearly verified algorithm and safeguard his deposit from emotional errors and consequences of the unpredictability of the Forex currency market.
Thanks to her, you will always know the answer to the question: how to act in certain market conditions. You have the conditions of opening a transaction, the conditions of its closing, likewise, you do not guess if it is time or not. You do what the trading strategy tells you. This does not mean that it cannot be changed. A healthy trading scheme in the forex market must be constantly adjusted, it must comply with the realities of current market trends, but there must be no unfounded arguments in it.
>>> Forex Signals With Unbeatable Performance: Verified Forex Results And 5° Rated On Investing.com |Free Forex Signals Trial: CLICK HERE TO JOIN FOR FREE

Profitable Forex Strategy Reddit

Types of trading strategies
The forms of a trading strategy can combine a variety of methods. However, several of the most commonly used options can be highlighted.
  • Trading strategy based on various complementary technical indicators
  • Trading strategy using Bollinger Bands
  • Moving Average Strategy
  • Technical figures and patterns
  • Trading with Fibonacci levels
  • Candlestick trading strategy
  • Trend trading strategy
  • Flat trading strategy
  • Scalping
  • Fundamental analysis as the basis of the strategy

Three most profitable Forex strategies

Important! These strategies are the basis for building your own trading system. Indicator settings and recommended pending order levels are for consultation only. If you do not get a satisfactory outcome in the test result or in a live account, that does not mean that the problem is the strategy. It is enough to choose individual parameters of indicators under a separate asset and under the current market situation.

1. “Bali” scalping strategy

This strategy is one of the most popular, at least its description can be found on many websites. However, the recommendations will be different. According to the author's idea, "Bali" refers to scalping tactics, as it facilitates a fairly short stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP). However, the recommended time frame is high, because the signals appear not very often. The authors recommend using the H1 interval and the EUR / USD currency pair.
Indicators used:
  • Linear Weighted Moving Average. Period 48 (red line).
https://preview.redd.it/9mhs67mxeaw51.jpg?width=461&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=913d428edd4cab0a3237e7039829a76dd587f1f5
The weighted linear moving average here acts as an additional filter. Due to the fact that LWMA gives more weight to the values ​​of the last periods, the indicator in the long periods practically excludes delays. In some cases, LWMA can give a signal beforehand, but in this strategy only the moving position relative to price is important. Bearish LWMA is a buy signal, sell bullish.
  • Trend Envelopes_v2. Period 2 (orange and blue lines).
https://preview.redd.it/8bap0s41faw51.jpg?width=627&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a6236ad06765280bbfd655fa1fb4153b28aaaf56
The indicator is also based on the moving average, but the formula is slightly different for the calculation. Its marking is more precise (the impact of price noise has been eliminated). It allows you to identify the twists of the trend compared to the usual mobile with a slight anticipation. Trend Envelopes has an interesting property: the color of the line and its new location changes when the price penetrates its old trend line, a kind of signal.
  • DSS of momentum. The configuration in the screenshot below.
https://preview.redd.it/9ch27cj4faw51.jpg?width=630&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=00558bbd90378009bef33b7c96c77f884b912667
The indicator is placed in a separate window below the chart. This is an oscillator whose task is to determine the pivot points of the trend. And it does so much faster than standard oscillators. It has two lines: the signal is dotted, the additional line is solid, but the receiver has 2 kinds of colors (orange and green).
  • Important! Note that the indicators for the “Bali” strategy are chosen in such a way as to ultimately give an early signal. This gives the trader time to confirm the signal and check the fundamentals.
MA is one of the basics on MT4, the other two indicators can be found in the archive for free here. To add them to the platform, click on MT4: "File / Open data directory". In the folder that opens, follow the following path: MQL4 / Indicators. Copy the flags to the folder and restart the platform.
Also Read: Make Money With Trading
Conditions to open a long position:
  • Price penetrates the orange Trend Envelopes line from the bottom up. At the same time in the same candle there is a change of the orange line that falls to a growing celestial.
  • The candle is above LWMA. Once the above condition has been met, we wait for the candle to appear above the moving one. It is important that it closes above the LWMA red line. It is mandatory to have a Skyline Trend Envelopes on a signal candle.
  • The additional DSS of momentum line on the signal candle is green and is above the dotted line of the signal (that is, it crosses or crosses it).
We open a trade at the close of the signal candle. The recommended stop level is 20-25 points in 4-digit quotes, take profit at 40-50 points.
https://preview.redd.it/t48d55s8faw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1e93863745e74dec536178539817225767cbeb1c
The arrow indicates a signal candle where a Trend Envelopes color change occurred. Note (purple ovals) that the blue line is below the orange line and goes upwards (in other cases the signal should be ignored). In the signal candle, the green DSS of momentum line is above the dotted line.
Conditions to open a short position:
  • Price penetrates the Trend Envelopes sky line from top to bottom. At the same time in the same candle there is a change from the increasing celestial line to the falling orange.
  • The candle is below LWMA. Once the above condition has been met, we wait for the candle to appear below the mobile. It is important that it closes below the LWMA red line. It is mandatory to have an orange Trend Envelopes line on a signal candle.
  • The additional DSS of momentum line on the signal candle is orange and is below the dotted line of the signal (i.e. crosses or crosses it).
https://preview.redd.it/6uixkl1dfaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dd53442c633e80c1e55da72cd5ffe9cda2e85b8a
Some examples where a transaction cannot be opened:
  1. In the screenshot below the signal candle closed at the moving level (red line), it was practically below it.
https://preview.redd.it/2o1wpocgfaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=58d3286bf2884b5f0dfdaa0a62b68d2d50cdabf8
  1. In the screenshot below the signal candle is DSS below its signal line. Also, the celestial line is horizontal and not ascending.
https://preview.redd.it/1nfi1etjfaw51.jpg?width=801&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ff9fcbc10a485c5102ef7a135de47332827caf54
The signals are relatively rare, a signal can be expected for several days. In half the cases, it is better to control the transaction and close in advance, without waiting for profit taking. We do not operate at the time of flat. Try this strategy directly in the browser and see the result.
>>> Forex Signals With Unbeatable Performance: Verified Forex Results And 5° Rated On Investing.com |Free Forex Signals Trial: CLICK HERE TO JOIN FOR FREE

2. “Va-Bank” candle strategy

This profitable Forex strategy is weekly and can be used on different currency pairs. It is based on the spring principle of price movement, what went up quickly, sooner or later must fall. To trade you will only need a schedule on any platform and W1 time frame (although the daily interval can be used).
You should estimate the size of the candle bodies of different currency pairs ( AUDCAD , AUDJPY , AUDUSD , EURGBP , EURJPY , GBPUSD , CHFJPY , NZDCHF , EURAUD , AUDCHF , CADCHF , EURUSD , EURCAD , GBPCHF ) and choose the largest distance from the opening to the close of the candle in the framework of the week. In this to open a transaction at the beginning of the following week.
Conditions to open a long position:
  • The bearish candle, which signifies last week's movement, has a relatively large body.
Open a long position early next week. Make sure to place a stop loss at 100-140 points and a take profit at 50-70 points. When it is midweek, close the order if it has not yet been closed at take profit or stop loss. After that, wait again for the beginning of the week and repeat the procedure, in any case do not open operations at the end of the current week.
https://preview.redd.it/vuihnqspfaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7641e9d7701911cc255c4f0c8a53e1660c35c9fe
On this chart it is clearly seen that after each large bearish candle there is necessarily a bullish candle (although smaller). The only question is what period to take where it makes sense to compare the relative length of the candles. Here everything is individual for each currency pair. Note that a rising candle was observed followed by a few small bearish candles. But when it comes to minimizing risks, it is best not to open a long response position, as the relatively small decline from the previous week may continue.
Conditions to open a short position:
  • The bullish candle, which signifies last week's movement, has a relatively large body.
We open a short position early next week.
https://preview.redd.it/tv4zmf5ufaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=61cd1dcfc4aebfa6f80343b6c51f7a6e46358602
The red arrows point to the candles that had a large body around the previous bullish candles. Almost all signals turned out to be profitable, except for the transactions indicated by a blue arrow. The shortcomings of the strategy are rare signs, albeit with a high probability of profit. The best thing is that it can be used in several pairs at the same time.
This strategy has an interesting modification based on similar logic. Investors with little capital opt for intraday strategies, as their money is insufficient to exert radical pressure on the market. Therefore, if there is a strong move on the weekly chart, this may indicate a cluster of large strong traders. In other words, if there are three weekly candles in one direction, it is most likely the fourth. Here you also have to take into account the psychological factor, 4 candles is equal to one month, and those who "push" the market in one direction, within a month will begin to set profits.
Strategy principle:
  • A "three candles" pattern (ascending and descending) formed on the weekly chart.
  • It is preferable that each subsequent candle was larger than the previous one. Doji is not taken into account (disembodied candles).
  • Stop is placed at the closing level of the first candle of the constructed formation. Take profit at 50-100% of the last candle, but it is often better to manually close the trade.
An example of this type of formation in the screenshot below.
https://preview.redd.it/iu7cwa7xfaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9195d24b72d2bda5394614380e9e5bc167f108a5
Of the 5 patterns, 4 were effective. Lack of strategy, the pattern can be expected 2-3 months. But when launching a multi-currency strategy this expectation is justified. Consider swaps!
>>> Forex Signals With Unbeatable Performance: Verified Forex Results And 5° Rated On Investing.com |Free Forex Signals Trial: CLICK HERE TO JOIN FOR FREE

3. Parabolic Profit Based on Moving Average

This strategy is universal and is usually given as an example for novice traders. It uses classic EMA (Exponential Moving Average) indicators for MT4 and Parabolic SAR, which acts as a confirmatory indicator.
The strategy is trend. Most sources suggest using it in "minutes", but price noise reduces its efficiency. It is better to use M15-M30 intervals. Currency pairs - Any, but you may need to adjust the indicator settings.
Indicators used:
  • EMA with periods 5, 25 and 50. EMA (5) in red, EMA (25) and EMA (50) in yellow. Apply to Close (closing price).
https://preview.redd.it/ly7ju8o3gaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=61dee5b0d994d09a375e01e2b9afe188dd2ee0ed
  • Parabolic SAR, parameters remain unchanged (color correct at your discretion).
https://preview.redd.it/sonpv1m8gaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=823e9ce5d279d3a98ef072694766a112a3ece775
Conditions to open a long position:
  • Red EMA (5) crosses the yellows from bottom to top.
  • Parabolic SAR is located under the sails.
Conditions to open a short position:
  • Red EMA (5) crosses the yellows from top to bottom.
  • Parabolic SAR is located above the candles.
The transaction can be opened on the same candle where the mobile crossover occurred. Stop loss at the local minimum, take profit at 20-25 points. But with the manual management of transactions you can extract great benefits. For example, close at the time of the transition from EMA (5) to a horizontal position (change of the angle of inclination of the growth to flat).
https://preview.redd.it/4un92jlegaw51.jpg?width=1000&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=406a700c00722349622d031e20d0858e4196d18b
This screen shows that all three signals (two long and one short) were effective. It would be possible to enter the market on the candle by following the signal (in order to accurately verify the direction of the trend), but you would then miss the right time to enter. It is up to you to decide whether it is worth the risk. For one-hour intervals, these parameters hardly work, so be sure to check the performance of the indicators for each period of time in a minimum span of three years.
And now that you know the theory, a few words about how to put these strategies into practice.
Ready? Then let's get started!

From the theory to the practice

Step 1. Open demo account It's free, requires no deposit, takes up to 15 minutes, and no verification required. On the main page of your broker there is for sures a button "Register", click and follow the instructions. An account can also be opened from other menus (for example, from the top menu, from the commercial conditions of the account, etc.).
Step 2. Familiarize yourself with the functionality of the Personal Area. It won't take long. It is at the most user friendly and intuitive. You just need to understand the instruments of the platform and understand how the trades are opened.
Step 3. Launch the trading platform. The Personal Area has the platform incorporated, but it is impossible to add templates. Hence, the "Bali" and "Parabolic Profit" strategies can only be executed on MT4.

Characteristics of an effective Forex strategy Reddit

And finally, let's see what makes a profitable Forex strategy effective. What properties should it have? Perhaps three of the most important characteristics can be pointed out.
  • The minimum number of lag indicators. The smaller they are, the greater the forecast accuracy.
  • Easy. Understanding your strategy is more important than your saturation with complex elements, formulas, and schematics.
  • Uniqueness. Any trading strategy must be "tailored" to your trading style, your character, your circumstances, and so on.
It is very important to develop your own trading strategy, but it is necessary to test a large number of already available and proven strategies. On the Forex blog you will find trading strategies available for download. Before using a live account, test your chosen strategy on the demo account on the MetaTrader trading platform.
Conclusion. To successfully trade the Forex currency market, create your own trading strategy. Learn what's new, learn out-of-the-box trading schemes, and improve your individual action plan in the market. Only in this case, the trading results will satisfy you to the fullest. Success, dear readers!
>>> Forex Signals With Unbeatable Performance: Verified Forex Results And 5° Rated On Investing.com |Free Forex Signals Trial: CLICK HERE TO JOIN FOR FREE
Join the community for more articles on trading and making money on the Forex and Stock market.
------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: This post contains affiliate links, if you click and make a purchase I may receive a commission - This has NO extra cost for you.
submitted by kayakero to makemoneyforexreddit [link] [comments]

Free Udemy Courses: Ethical Hacking A-Z, Python 3 Javascript, Linux, Spark & Hadoop Developer, Excel, SEO, SQL, Scrum, Agile, Youtube, Forex

The following description is not provided by this sub or any of it's contributors.
Udemy
Another list of courses: Credit: Reddit
[Hot & New ] [11h 50m] Learn Ethical Hacking From A-Z: Beginner To Expert Course Code=3C24AF23D750C879A5DF 2 Days left at this price !
[Highest Rated ] [5h 29m] CCA 175 Spark and Hadoop Developer Certification using Scala Code=D21B6EB1FA4C8F954044 2 Days left at this price !
[3.6] [22h 34m] Fundamentals of Engineering Thermodynamics Code=FREE_NOV_2020 2 Days left at this price !
[4.3] [10h 21m] 2020 Ultimate Guide to YouTube Channel & YouTube Masterclass Code=E6B7C45C90A0011D7B3F 2 Days left at this price !
[4.1] [1h 15m] Earn Passive Income by Working from Home with Gumroad Code=80EB750F643F5A5B07E4 2 Days left at this price !
[4.1] [17h 35m] Learn to Code with Python 3! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.7] [22h 12m] Digital Marketing Agency Elite Consultants Masterclass Code=6C72DCF77FB7FB24FBD1 2 Days left at this price !
[4] [1h 6m] YouTube Marketing Certification (2021 Edition) Code=192A96B2CEB91B160BFA 2 Days left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 34m] Artificial Intelligence in Video Creation Certification 2021 Code=0CF0BEAEF9A2A425D4EA 2 Days left at this price !
[4] [0h 53m] Influencer Content Marketing Certification (2021 Edition) Code=095F69F68AAC8330DFF1 2 Days left at this price !
[3.9] [6h 45m] Python For Beginners Course In-Depth Code=80BADBA12E579F447281 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [6h 24m] HTML, JavaScript, & Bootstrap - Certification Course Code=YOUACCELOCT30 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.4] [24h 14m] The Complete Full-Stack JavaScript Course! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [16h 48m] The Complete Front-End Web Development Course! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [19h 25m] The Complete Ethical Hacking Course! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [7h 22m] Linux for Absolute Beginners! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [2h 36m] Learn HTML5 Programming From Beginner to Pro Code=D8CE6156DD83AE0498AF 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [3h 35m] Agile Project Management: Agile, Scrum & XP Code=LEARNAGILE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [2h 50m] Chart Pattern Trading via Day Trade Stock Options Intro Code=CPTDTEXPNOV22020 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [2h 15m] Learn HTML - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 15m] Learn jQuery - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [3h 52m] Internet and Web Development Fundamentals Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 27m] Learn MySQL - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.1] [1h 47m] Learn PHP - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [1h 28m] Learn JavaScript - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [2h 23m] Learn XML-AJAX - For Beginners Code=YOUACCEL0CT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.9] [2h 13m] Basic Arabic Reading Code=FREEOCT 1 Day left at this price !
[New] [1h 17m] How To Spend Your First (Or Next) Ten Days Without a Job Code=GHOSTBUSTER 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.4] [7h 20m] SQL Masterclass: SQL for Data Analytics Code=OCTXXX20 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.2] [3h 49m] Introduction to Forex- learn to trade forex by yourself Code=0D1CF2215B647C5B8D9A 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 10m] How to find Remote Work in 2020 Code=BIRTHDAY2020 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 0m] Basics Of Stop Motion Animation Using Canva And OpenShot Code=EB1C917A9B7E86E084FE 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [3h 37m] Intro To Basic Video Creation Code=FA422DC22492093E2287 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [2h 27m] Business/Corporate Finance & DCF Valuation: Zero to Pro Code=77054E93295CE3FAA355 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [2h 41m] Object-Oriented Programming - From Basics to Advance (Java) Code=OOP_OCT_FREE_3 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [9h 3m] Java from Zero to First Job: Part 1 - Java Basics, OOP, Git Code=JAVA_OCT_FREE_3 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [6h 15m] Zero to Hero in Microsoft Excel: Complete Excel guide 2020 Code=OCTXXX20 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.5] [0h 33m] St John Ambulance: Official Baby & Paediatric First Aid Code=02962ADE3BD2552D1502 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.2] [6h 57m] STRESS MASTERCLASS : 8-Week Stress Relief Training Code=STRESSFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [0h 56m] Designing Landing Pages in Figma: Techniques and Processes Code=469B1768076B3F26FD7B 19 hrs left at this price !
[Highest Rated] [2h 0m] The Ultimate Guide to Scrum Fundamentals- 2020Code=GOSCRUM 2 Days left at this price !
[4.6] [4h 33m] SEO Masterclass: Rank Your Website Higher with Better SEOCode=MYSTERY2 2 Days left at this price !
[4.5] [5h 55m] The Self-Taught Programmer Code=0012C644728494C08A2A 2 Days left at this price !
[4.3] [7h 24m] Microsoft Excel Training: Learn Essential Excel SkillsCode=FREE_NOV_2020 2 Days left at this price !
[4.4] [1h 39m] Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (A Complete Guide 2020)Code=END_OCT_WTH_LOCKDOWN 2 Days left at this price !
[4.2] [2h 4m] Ultimate Crash Course on Cloud Computing 2020 (Amazon AWS)Code=LAST_OCTOBER_SALE 2 Days left at this price !
[4.7] [3h 15m] Intro To Marketing For Small Businesses Course.Code=E3D1DBB61B4A53A5D463 2 Days left at this price !
[4.4] [2h 9m] Business Fundamentals For Small Startups Entrepreneurs.Code=3F474C0FC3A66644CC27 2 Days left at this price !
[4.5] [1h 52m] Intro To Business Branding For Small Businesses Course.Code=9A579F8C37042BA7147C 2 Days left at this price !
[4.4] [2h 28m] WordPress for Absolute Beginners Code=WORDPRESSNOV2020 2 Days left at this price !
Popular Courses from £9.99
[Bestseller] [56h 8m] The Complete Digital Marketing Course for Local Businesses $9.99 Code=1NOV999 4 Days left at this price !
[Hot & New ] [39h 52m] BEST of SEO: #1 SEO Training & Content Marketing Course 2021 $9.99 Code=1NOV999 4 Days left at this price !
[4.6] [31h 10m] TJ Walker's 1-Hour Public Speaking Presentation Skills Class $9.99 Code=THANKS1 2 Days left at this price !
[4.5] [28h 27m] Winning Communication Skills for Telephone, Conference Calls $9.99 Code=THANKS2 2 Days left at this price !
[4+] [13.5hrs +] $12.99 [Code: NOVOLEARN2020] 115 Courses – PMP (42 Hours), Agile (32 Hours), PMI-RMP/IIBA-ECBA (37 Hours), Business Analysis (16.5 hours), Operations Management (13.5 Hours) & More Code=NOVOLEARN2020
$19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Solutions Architect Associate Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud Code=AWSPROMO
$19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Cloud Practitioner Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud Code=AWSPROMO
This deal can be found on hotukdeals via this link: https://ift.tt/3jIFm4d
submitted by SuperHotUKDeals to SuperHotUKDeals [link] [comments]

Free Udemy Courses: Ethical Hacking A-Z, Python 3 Javascript, Linux, Spark & Hadoop Developer, Excel, SEO, SQL, Scrum, Agile, Youtube, Forex

The following description is not provided by this sub or any of it's contributors.
Udemy
Another list of courses: Credit: Reddit
[Hot & New ] [11h 50m] Learn Ethical Hacking From A-Z: Beginner To Expert Course Code=3C24AF23D750C879A5DF 2 Days left at this price !
[Highest Rated ] [5h 29m] CCA 175 Spark and Hadoop Developer Certification using Scala Code=D21B6EB1FA4C8F954044 2 Days left at this price !
[3.6] [22h 34m] Fundamentals of Engineering Thermodynamics Code=FREE_NOV_2020 2 Days left at this price !
[4.3] [10h 21m] 2020 Ultimate Guide to YouTube Channel & YouTube Masterclass Code=E6B7C45C90A0011D7B3F 2 Days left at this price !
[4.1] [1h 15m] Earn Passive Income by Working from Home with Gumroad Code=80EB750F643F5A5B07E4 2 Days left at this price !
[4.1] [17h 35m] Learn to Code with Python 3! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.7] [22h 12m] Digital Marketing Agency Elite Consultants Masterclass Code=6C72DCF77FB7FB24FBD1 2 Days left at this price !
[4.6] [4h 33m] SEO Masterclass: Rank Your Website Higher with Better SEO Code=MYSTERY2 2 Days left at this price !
[4] [1h 6m] YouTube Marketing Certification (2021 Edition) Code=192A96B2CEB91B160BFA 2 Days left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 34m] Artificial Intelligence in Video Creation Certification 2021 Code=0CF0BEAEF9A2A425D4EA 2 Days left at this price !
[4] [0h 53m] Influencer Content Marketing Certification (2021 Edition) Code=095F69F68AAC8330DFF1 2 Days left at this price !
[4.4] [1h 39m] Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (A Complete Guide 2020) Code=END_OCT_WTH_LOCKDOWN 2 Days left at this price !
[4.2] [2h 4m] Ultimate Crash Course on Cloud Computing 2020 (Amazon AWS) Code=LAST_OCTOBER_SALE 2 Days left at this price !
[4.7] [3h 15m] Intro To Marketing For Small Businesses Course. Code=E3D1DBB61B4A53A5D463 2 Days left at this price !
[4.4] [2h 9m] Business Fundamentals For Small Startups Entrepreneurs. Code=3F474C0FC3A66644CC27 2 Days left at this price !
[4.5] [1h 52m] Intro To Business Branding For Small Businesses Course. Code=9A579F8C37042BA7147C 2 Days left at this price !
[4.4] [2h 28m] WordPress for Absolute Beginners Code=WORDPRESSNOV2020 2 Days left at this price !
[3.9] [6h 45m] Python For Beginners Course In-Depth Code=80BADBA12E579F447281 1 Day left at this price !
[4.5] [5h 55m] The Self-Taught Programmer Code=0012C644728494C08A2A 2 Days left at this price !
[4.3] [7h 24m] Microsoft Excel Training: Learn Essential Excel Skills Code=FREE_NOV_2020 2 Days left at this price !
[4.3] [6h 24m] HTML, JavaScript, & Bootstrap - Certification Course Code=YOUACCELOCT30 19 hrs left at this price !
[Highest Rated] [2h 0m] The Ultimate Guide to Scrum Fundamentals- 2020 Code=GOSCRUM 2 Days left at this price !
[4.4] [24h 14m] The Complete Full-Stack JavaScript Course! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [16h 48m] The Complete Front-End Web Development Course! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [19h 25m] The Complete Ethical Hacking Course! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [7h 22m] Linux for Absolute Beginners! Code=NOVFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [2h 36m] Learn HTML5 Programming From Beginner to Pro Code=D8CE6156DD83AE0498AF 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [3h 35m] Agile Project Management: Agile, Scrum & XP Code=LEARNAGILE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [2h 50m] Chart Pattern Trading via Day Trade Stock Options Intro Code=CPTDTEXPNOV22020 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [2h 15m] Learn HTML - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 15m] Learn jQuery - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [3h 52m] Internet and Web Development Fundamentals Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 27m] Learn MySQL - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.1] [1h 47m] Learn PHP - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [1h 28m] Learn JavaScript - For Beginners Code=YOUACCELOCT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [2h 23m] Learn XML-AJAX - For Beginners Code=YOUACCEL0CT30 1 Day left at this price !
[4.9] [2h 13m] Basic Arabic Reading Code=FREEOCT 1 Day left at this price !
[New] [1h 17m] How To Spend Your First (Or Next) Ten Days Without a Job Code=GHOSTBUSTER 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.4] [7h 20m] SQL Masterclass: SQL for Data Analytics Code=OCTXXX20 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.2] [3h 49m] Introduction to Forex- learn to trade forex by yourself Code=0D1CF2215B647C5B8D9A 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 10m] How to find Remote Work in 2020 Code=BIRTHDAY2020 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [1h 0m] Basics Of Stop Motion Animation Using Canva And OpenShot Code=EB1C917A9B7E86E084FE 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [3h 37m] Intro To Basic Video Creation Code=FA422DC22492093E2287 1 Day left at this price !
[4.3] [2h 27m] Business/Corporate Finance & DCF Valuation: Zero to Pro Code=77054E93295CE3FAA355 1 Day left at this price !
[4] [2h 41m] Object-Oriented Programming - From Basics to Advance (Java) Code=OOP_OCT_FREE_3 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [9h 3m] Java from Zero to First Job: Part 1 - Java Basics, OOP, Git Code=JAVA_OCT_FREE_3 1 Day left at this price !
[4.4] [6h 15m] Zero to Hero in Microsoft Excel: Complete Excel guide 2020 Code=OCTXXX20 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.5] [0h 33m] St John Ambulance: Official Baby & Paediatric First Aid Code=02962ADE3BD2552D1502 19 hrs left at this price !
[4.2] [6h 57m] STRESS MASTERCLASS : 8-Week Stress Relief Training Code=STRESSFREE 1 Day left at this price !
[4.2] [0h 56m] Designing Landing Pages in Figma: Techniques and Processes Code=469B1768076B3F26FD7B 19 hrs left at this price !
Popular Courses from £9.99
[Bestseller] [56h 8m] The Complete Digital Marketing Course for Local Businesses $9.99 Code=1NOV999 4 Days left at this price !
[Hot & New ] [39h 52m] BEST of SEO: #1 SEO Training & Content Marketing Course 2021 $9.99 Code=1NOV999 4 Days left at this price !
[4.6] [31h 10m] TJ Walker's 1-Hour Public Speaking Presentation Skills Class $9.99 Code=THANKS1 2 Days left at this price !
[4.5] [28h 27m] Winning Communication Skills for Telephone, Conference Calls $9.99 Code=THANKS2 2 Days left at this price !
[4+] [13.5hrs +] $12.99 [Code: NOVOLEARN2020] 115 Courses – PMP (42 Hours), Agile (32 Hours), PMI-RMP/IIBA-ECBA (37 Hours), Business Analysis (16.5 hours), Operations Management (13.5 Hours) & More Code=NOVOLEARN2020
$19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Solutions Architect Associate Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud Code=AWSPROMO
$19.49 [Code : AWSPROMO] AWS Cloud Practitioner Ultimate Training Package (video course + practice exam course + ebook / training notes) – Digitalcloud Code=AWSPROMO
This deal can be found on hotukdeals via this link: https://ift.tt/3jIFm4d
submitted by SuperHotUKDeals to SuperHotUKDeals [link] [comments]

H1 Backtest of ParallaxFX's BBStoch system

Disclaimer: None of this is financial advice. I have no idea what I'm doing. Please do your own research or you will certainly lose money. I'm not a statistician, data scientist, well-seasoned trader, or anything else that would qualify me to make statements such as the below with any weight behind them. Take them for the incoherent ramblings that they are.
TL;DR at the bottom for those not interested in the details.
This is a bit of a novel, sorry about that. It was mostly for getting my own thoughts organized, but if even one person reads the whole thing I will feel incredibly accomplished.

Background

For those of you not familiar, please see the various threads on this trading system here. I can't take credit for this system, all glory goes to ParallaxFX!
I wanted to see how effective this system was at H1 for a couple of reasons: 1) My current broker is TD Ameritrade - their Forex minimum is a mini lot, and I don't feel comfortable enough yet with the risk to trade mini lots on the higher timeframes(i.e. wider pip swings) that ParallaxFX's system uses, so I wanted to see if I could scale it down. 2) I'm fairly impatient, so I don't like to wait days and days with my capital tied up just to see if a trade is going to win or lose.
This does mean it requires more active attention since you are checking for setups once an hour instead of once a day or every 4-6 hours, but the upside is that you trade more often this way so you end up winning or losing faster and moving onto the next trade. Spread does eat more of the trade this way, but I'll cover this in my data below - it ends up not being a problem.
I looked at data from 6/11 to 7/3 on all pairs with a reasonable spread(pairs listed at bottom above the TL;DR). So this represents about 3-4 weeks' worth of trading. I used mark(mid) price charts. Spreadsheet link is below for anyone that's interested.

System Details

I'm pretty much using ParallaxFX's system textbook, but since there are a few options in his writeups, I'll include all the discretionary points here:

And now for the fun. Results!

As you can see, a higher target ended up with higher profit despite a much lower winrate. This is partially just how things work out with profit targets in general, but there's an additional point to consider in our case: the spread. Since we are trading on a lower timeframe, there is less overall price movement and thus the spread takes up a much larger percentage of the trade than it would if you were trading H4, Daily or Weekly charts. You can see exactly how much it accounts for each trade in my spreadsheet if you're interested. TDA does not have the best spreads, so you could probably improve these results with another broker.
EDIT: I grabbed typical spreads from other brokers, and turns out while TDA is pretty competitive on majors, their minors/crosses are awful! IG beats them by 20-40% and Oanda beats them 30-60%! Using IG spreads for calculations increased profits considerably (another 5% on top) and Oanda spreads increased profits massively (another 15%!). Definitely going to be considering another broker than TDA for this strategy. Plus that'll allow me to trade micro-lots, so I can be more granular(and thus accurate) with my position sizing and compounding.

A Note on Spread

As you can see in the data, there were scenarios where the spread was 80% of the overall size of the trade(the size of the confirmation candle that you draw your fibonacci retracements over), which would obviously cut heavily into your profits.
Removing any trades where the spread is more than 50% of the trade width improved profits slightly without removing many trades, but this is almost certainly just coincidence on a small sample size. Going below 40% and even down to 30% starts to cut out a lot of trades for the less-common pairs, but doesn't actually change overall profits at all(~1% either way).
However, digging all the way down to 25% starts to really make some movement. Profit at the -161.8% TP level jumps up to 37.94% if you filter out anything with a spread that is more than 25% of the trade width! And this even keeps the sample size fairly large at 187 total trades.
You can get your profits all the way up to 48.43% at the -161.8% TP level if you filter all the way down to only trades where spread is less than 15% of the trade width, however your sample size gets much smaller at that point(108 trades) so I'm not sure I would trust that as being accurate in the long term.
Overall based on this data, I'm going to only take trades where the spread is less than 25% of the trade width. This may bias my trades more towards the majors, which would mean a lot more correlated trades as well(more on correlation below), but I think it is a reasonable precaution regardless.

Time of Day

Time of day had an interesting effect on trades. In a totally predictable fashion, a vast majority of setups occurred during the London and New York sessions: 5am-12pm Eastern. However, there was one outlier where there were many setups on the 11PM bar - and the winrate was about the same as the big hours in the London session. No idea why this hour in particular - anyone have any insight? That's smack in the middle of the Tokyo/Sydney overlap, not at the open or close of either.
On many of the hour slices I have a feeling I'm just dealing with small number statistics here since I didn't have a lot of data when breaking it down by individual hours. But here it is anyway - for all TP levels, these three things showed up(all in Eastern time):
I don't have any reason to think these timeframes would maintain this behavior over the long term. They're almost certainly meaningless. EDIT: When you de-dup highly correlated trades, the number of trades in these timeframes really drops, so from this data there is no reason to think these timeframes would be any different than any others in terms of winrate.
That being said, these time frames work out for me pretty well because I typically sleep 12am-7am Eastern time. So I automatically avoid the 5am-6am timeframe, and I'm awake for the majority of this system's setups.

Moving stops up to breakeven

This section goes against everything I know and have ever heard about trade management. Please someone find something wrong with my data. I'd love for someone to check my formulas, but I realize that's a pretty insane time commitment to ask of a bunch of strangers.
Anyways. What I found was that for these trades moving stops up...basically at all...actually reduced the overall profitability.
One of the data points I collected while charting was where the price retraced back to after hitting a certain milestone. i.e. once the price hit the -61.8% profit level, how far back did it retrace before hitting the -100% profit level(if at all)? And same goes for the -100% profit level - how far back did it retrace before hitting the -161.8% profit level(if at all)?
Well, some complex excel formulas later and here's what the results appear to be. Emphasis on appears because I honestly don't believe it. I must have done something wrong here, but I've gone over it a hundred times and I can't find anything out of place.
Now, you might think exactly what I did when looking at these numbers: oof, the spread killed us there right? Because even when you move your SL to 0%, you still end up paying the spread, so it's not truly "breakeven". And because we are trading on a lower timeframe, the spread can be pretty hefty right?
Well even when I manually modified the data so that the spread wasn't subtracted(i.e. "Breakeven" was truly +/- 0), things don't look a whole lot better, and still way worse than the passive trade management method of leaving your stops in place and letting it run. And that isn't even a realistic scenario because to adjust out the spread you'd have to move your stoploss inside the candle edge by at least the spread amount, meaning it would almost certainly be triggered more often than in the data I collected(which was purely based on the fib levels and mark price). Regardless, here are the numbers for that scenario:
From a literal standpoint, what I see behind this behavior is that 44 of the 69 breakeven trades(65%!) ended up being profitable to -100% after retracing deeply(but not to the original SL level), which greatly helped offset the purely losing trades better than the partial profit taken at -61.8%. And 36 went all the way back to -161.8% after a deep retracement without hitting the original SL. Anyone have any insight into this? Is this a problem with just not enough data? It seems like enough trades that a pattern should emerge, but again I'm no expert.
I also briefly looked at moving stops to other lower levels (78.6%, 61.8%, 50%, 38.2%, 23.6%), but that didn't improve things any. No hard data to share as I only took a quick look - and I still might have done something wrong overall.
The data is there to infer other strategies if anyone would like to dig in deep(more explanation on the spreadsheet below). I didn't do other combinations because the formulas got pretty complicated and I had already answered all the questions I was looking to answer.

2-Candle vs Confirmation Candle Stops

Another interesting point is that the original system has the SL level(for stop entries) just at the outer edge of the 2-candle pattern that makes up the system. Out of pure laziness, I set up my stops just based on the confirmation candle. And as it turns out, that is much a much better way to go about it.
Of the 60 purely losing trades, only 9 of them(15%) would go on to be winners with stops on the 2-candle formation. Certainly not enough to justify the extra loss and/or reduced profits you are exposing yourself to in every single other trade by setting a wider SL.
Oddly, in every single scenario where the wider stop did save the trade, it ended up going all the way to the -161.8% profit level. Still, not nearly worth it.

Correlated Trades

As I've said many times now, I'm really not qualified to be doing an analysis like this. This section in particular.
Looking at shared currency among the pairs traded, 74 of the trades are correlated. Quite a large group, but it makes sense considering the sort of moves we're looking for with this system.
This means you are opening yourself up to more risk if you were to trade on every signal since you are technically trading with the same underlying sentiment on each different pair. For example, GBP/USD and AUD/USD moving together almost certainly means it's due to USD moving both pairs, rather than GBP and AUD both moving the same size and direction coincidentally at the same time. So if you were to trade both signals, you would very likely win or lose both trades - meaning you are actually risking double what you'd normally risk(unless you halve both positions which can be a good option, and is discussed in ParallaxFX's posts and in various other places that go over pair correlation. I won't go into detail about those strategies here).
Interestingly though, 17 of those apparently correlated trades ended up with different wins/losses.
Also, looking only at trades that were correlated, winrate is 83%/70%/55% (for the three TP levels).
Does this give some indication that the same signal on multiple pairs means the signal is stronger? That there's some strong underlying sentiment driving it? Or is it just a matter of too small a sample size? The winrate isn't really much higher than the overall winrates, so that makes me doubt it is statistically significant.
One more funny tidbit: EUCAD netted the lowest overall winrate: 30% to even the -61.8% TP level on 10 trades. Seems like that is just a coincidence and not enough data, but dang that's a sucky losing streak.
EDIT: WOW I spent some time removing correlated trades manually and it changed the results quite a bit. Some thoughts on this below the results. These numbers also include the other "What I will trade" filters. I added a new worksheet to my data to show what I ended up picking.
To do this, I removed correlated trades - typically by choosing those whose spread had a lower % of the trade width since that's objective and something I can see ahead of time. Obviously I'd like to only keep the winning trades, but I won't know that during the trade. This did reduce the overall sample size down to a level that I wouldn't otherwise consider to be big enough, but since the results are generally consistent with the overall dataset, I'm not going to worry about it too much.
I may also use more discretionary methods(support/resistance, quality of indecision/confirmation candles, news/sentiment for the pairs involved, etc) to filter out correlated trades in the future. But as I've said before I'm going for a pretty mechanical system.
This brought the 3 TP levels and even the breakeven strategies much closer together in overall profit. It muted the profit from the high R:R strategies and boosted the profit from the low R:R strategies. This tells me pair correlation was skewing my data quite a bit, so I'm glad I dug in a little deeper. Fortunately my original conclusion to use the -161.8 TP level with static stops is still the winner by a good bit, so it doesn't end up changing my actions.
There were a few times where MANY (6-8) correlated pairs all came up at the same time, so it'd be a crapshoot to an extent. And the data showed this - often then won/lost together, but sometimes they did not. As an arbitrary rule, the more correlations, the more trades I did end up taking(and thus risking). For example if there were 3-5 correlations, I might take the 2 "best" trades given my criteria above. 5+ setups and I might take the best 3 trades, even if the pairs are somewhat correlated.
I have no true data to back this up, but to illustrate using one example: if AUD/JPY, AUD/USD, CAD/JPY, USD/CAD all set up at the same time (as they did, along with a few other pairs on 6/19/20 9:00 AM), can you really say that those are all the same underlying movement? There are correlations between the different correlations, and trying to filter for that seems rough. Although maybe this is a known thing, I'm still pretty green to Forex - someone please enlighten me if so! I might have to look into this more statistically, but it would be pretty complex to analyze quantitatively, so for now I'm going with my gut and just taking a few of the "best" trades out of the handful.
Overall, I'm really glad I went further on this. The boosting of the B/E strategies makes me trust my calculations on those more since they aren't so far from the passive management like they were with the raw data, and that really had me wondering what I did wrong.

What I will trade

Putting all this together, I am going to attempt to trade the following(demo for a bit to make sure I have the hang of it, then for keeps):
Looking at the data for these rules, test results are:
I'll be sure to let everyone know how it goes!

Other Technical Details

Raw Data

Here's the spreadsheet for anyone that'd like it. (EDIT: Updated some of the setups from the last few days that have fully played out now. I also noticed a few typos, but nothing major that would change the overall outcomes. Regardless, I am currently reviewing every trade to ensure they are accurate.UPDATE: Finally all done. Very few corrections, no change to results.)
I have some explanatory notes below to help everyone else understand the spiraled labyrinth of a mind that put the spreadsheet together.

Insanely detailed spreadsheet notes

For you real nerds out there. Here's an explanation of what each column means:

Pairs

  1. AUD/CAD
  2. AUD/CHF
  3. AUD/JPY
  4. AUD/NZD
  5. AUD/USD
  6. CAD/CHF
  7. CAD/JPY
  8. CHF/JPY
  9. EUAUD
  10. EUCAD
  11. EUCHF
  12. EUGBP
  13. EUJPY
  14. EUNZD
  15. EUUSD
  16. GBP/AUD
  17. GBP/CAD
  18. GBP/CHF
  19. GBP/JPY
  20. GBP/NZD
  21. GBP/USD
  22. NZD/CAD
  23. NZD/CHF
  24. NZD/JPY
  25. NZD/USD
  26. USD/CAD
  27. USD/CHF
  28. USD/JPY

TL;DR

Based on the reasonable rules I discovered in this backtest:

Demo Trading Results

Since this post, I started demo trading this system assuming a 5k capital base and risking ~1% per trade. I've added the details to my spreadsheet for anyone interested. The results are pretty similar to the backtest when you consider real-life conditions/timing are a bit different. I missed some trades due to life(work, out of the house, etc), so that brought my total # of trades and thus overall profit down, but the winrate is nearly identical. I also closed a few trades early due to various reasons(not liking the price action, seeing support/resistance emerge, etc).
A quick note is that TD's paper trade system fills at the mid price for both stop and limit orders, so I had to subtract the spread from the raw trade values to get the true profit/loss amount for each trade.
I'm heading out of town next week, then after that it'll be time to take this sucker live!

Live Trading Results

I started live-trading this system on 8/10, and almost immediately had a string of losses much longer than either my backtest or demo period. Murphy's law huh? Anyways, that has me spooked so I'm doing a longer backtest before I start risking more real money. It's going to take me a little while due to the volume of trades, but I'll likely make a new post once I feel comfortable with that and start live trading again.
submitted by ForexBorex to Forex [link] [comments]

Understanding Forex Charts - YouTube How To Read Forex Charts - YouTube Forex Swing Trading Strategies (4 Hour Chart Strategy ... Chart Tools - Charting Tools - FOREX.com - YouTube HOW TO ANALYZE FOREX PAIRS📈 - YouTube Understanding Chart Patterns for Online Trading - YouTube How To Mark Up a Chart  Forex Guide and Lessons - YouTube How To Analyze FOREX Charts  SIMPLE TIPS - YouTube What Do FOREX CHARTS Look Like?! - YouTube How to analyse Forex trading charts - Technical Analysis ...

Kostenlose Trading-Charts für den Devisenmarkt, die wichtigsten Rohstoffe und Indizes. Unsere Charts sind interaktiv und enthalten technische Indikatoren. Forex Trading GoForex Forex charts by TradingView Advanced live charts for forex trading are free and easy-to-use at ForexLive. These real-time charting packages let you apply technical analysis to hundreds of FX pairs. Forex trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Full Disclosure. Spot Gold and Silver contracts are not subject to regulation under the U.S. Commodity Exchange Act. *Increasing leverage increases risk. GAIN Capital Group LLC (dba FOREX.com) 135 US Hwy 202/206 Bedminster NJ 07921, USA. GAIN Capital Group ... Interactive financial charts for analysis and generating trading ideas on TradingView! Sie haben eine umfassende Auswahl an Echtzeit Forex-Charts, die die Bewegungen tausender Währungspaare auf dem globalen Devisenmarkt verfolgen. Free trading charts for forex, major commodities and indices. Our charts are fully interactive with a full suite of technical indicators.

[index] [9533] [10996] [1818] [19098] [18778] [28381] [19249] [11129] [29288] [11795]

Understanding Forex Charts - YouTube

Everyone analyzes FOREX charts differently. In this video, I reveal the simple and straightforward way that I have been analyzing charts lately which has wor... For people new to trading Forex they may have stared at Forex charts for a while but not actually understood what the various things on the chart actually me... Be sure to SUBSCRIBE!!! •$297 Forex Course 👇 https://www.fx-accelerator.com/fxfunnel •JOIN OUR 7-DAY FREE GROUP CHAT: https://www.fx-accelerator.com/master..... Find out how to use the wide array of options available on the charting menu. This video will help you better analysis your charts to be able to make money in the forex market. We recommend those that truly want to become a professiona... Forex Swing Trading Strategies (4 Hour Chart Strategy) https://www.forexelite.com This video shows how simple it is to analyse a Forex chart, with a USDJPY example we execute a top down analysis using strictly tools and price action. This ... Tap to unmute. 7 Sins to Avoid. 7tradingsins.com. If playback doesn't begin shortly, try restarting your device. An error occurred. Please try again later. (Playback ID: CWMkHv-H9YFEY2Kx) Learn ... How To Read Forex Charts right now so you can start making money trading Forex. GET YOUR FREE FOREX TOOLKIT Here – https://www.vintageducation.com/toolkit In... Chart Patterns are well established in forex and CFD trading and work as well for cryptocurrency investing. There are numerous chart patterns and lots of gim...

http://binary-optiontrade.tendvisoft.tk